Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#703 Colorado State 142 vs.
#704 Boise State -6
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Written by David Hess

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#703 Colorado State University
#704 Boise State University
6-4
4-3
15-15-1
15-16-1
16-15
13-19
74
71
75
68

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College Basketball action on Saturday afternoon and a pair of teams from the Mountain West Conference will square off as the Colorado State Rams duke it out with the Boise State Broncos. This contest has a start time of 4:00 pm ET and will take place at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho. These teams met three times last year and Boise took two of the three meetings. The Rams enter this game at 6-4 on the year while the Broncos are at 4-3.

Rams Get Pounded By The Aztecs

The Colorado State Rams are off to a 6-4 start to the year, which is exactly the start they were hoping for after going just 12-20 last year, including 7-11 within the Mountain West Conference. Colorado recently had a three-game winning streak going but that came to an end with a thud as they lost to San Diego State at home by a score of 79-57. The offense just couldn't find its way against a tough Aztec defense and this after they had scored 171 points combined in their previous two games. The Rams are now 186th in the nation in scoring, putting up 72.0 ppg. Their offense has a good shot at getting back on track against a Boise State defense that has struggled a bit this year.

The Rams shot just 38% from the field overall against the Aztecs, including just 22% (4/18) from long range. They also missed seven free throws and were outrebounded 36-24. Leading their attack in the contest was Nico Carvacho (13.7 ppg), who had 16 while Kendle Moore (7.9 ppg) had 14 to round out their double-digit scorers in the game. The defense had its struggles this year and the Aztecs were able to hit 49% of their shots overall, including 35% of their shots from long range. Colorado State is ranked 231st in the nation in scoring defense, giving up 70.8 ppg so far.

Broncos Suffer Tough Loss To New Mexico

The Boise State Broncos went 13-20 last year, including 7-11 within the conference but they have a shot at a bounce-back season as Boise has four full-time starters returning. The Broncos are off to a 4-3 start to the year overall but they have gone 0-1 in league play. Boise comes in off a tough 80-78 loss to New Mexico on the road, which broke a three-game winning streak that they were on. The Broncos have been very good at the offensive end of the court as they come in averaging 81.9 ppg, which is 28th in the nation. We do note that they have averaged just 74.5 ppg in their six games against Division One teams.

Boise shot a solid 51% from the field overall, including 50% (14/28) from beyond the arc, but they also committed 12 turnovers to the six that the Lobos committed. The turnovers were really the difference in the game. Leading their attack was Justinian Jessup (16.1 ppg), who had 24 while Derrick Alston (21.6 ppg) had 20 and Marcus Dickinson (7.7 ppg) had 16 to round out their top three scorers in the contest. The defense has struggled this year and they allowed the Lobos to hit 51% of their shots from the field overall but just 21% (3/14) of their shots from long range. Boise is 264th in the nation in points allowed, giving up 72.4 ppg on the year.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I will be going with the Broncos in this one. Both teams are off of a loss to start MWC play but the Broncos played far better in their game than the Rams did. Colorado State is headed for a long season this year, despite the fact that they have started 6-4. The Rams were just crushed by San Diego State while the Broncos were losing on the road by just two points to a very good New Mexico square. The Broncos have the edge on offense and they are a solid home team while the Rams struggle on the road. I will look for Boise State to take this one rather easily.

Prediction: Boise State -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both of these teams have played well at the offensive end of the floor and poor on the defensive end and that is a recipe for a high scoring game. The Broncos come in averaging 81.9 ppg on the year and the Rams have allowed 70.8 ppg on the year. The Rams come in having averaged 72.0 ppg on the year overall and their offense will get back on track after a bad showing vs a strong San Diego State defense. They will be facing a Bronco defense that has allowed 72.4 ppg so far. Both teams are near the middle of the pack in terms of pace and while it will not be fast, it also won't be a slow-paced game. The Over is 9-1-1 in Colorado State's last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 10-1-1 in Boise State's last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take the Over in this one.

Prediction: Over 141
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.