Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#685 Indiana State 147 vs.
#686 Wright State -5
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Sporty Jordy

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#685 Indiana State University
#686 Wright State University
4-4
7-2
14-15
19-13-1
14-14-1
16-17
69
73
71
67

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

When and where: December 7, 2019, Nutter Center, Dayton, OH, 2:00 PM ET

A clash between the Missouri Valley Conference and Horizon League takes center stage on Saturday when the Indiana State Sycamores go head-to-head with the Wright State Raiders. The Raiders have rolled with the punches after getting knocked out in a 72-70 loss to La Salle. They have returned to their winning ways with nail-biting victories over Western Kentucky and Miami (Ohio). Meanwhile, Indiana State has stormed back into the win column with four consecutive victories over Loyola Marymount, Air Force, Missouri-St. Louis and North Dakota State.

Indiana State rolls to fourth straight win

It didn’t take the Sycamores long to climb out of the 0-4 hole they created for themselves at the beginning of the season. Tuesday’s 71-60 victory over North Dakota State marked the fourth consecutive win for the Sycamores and brought their overall record to 4-4.

Now, they’ll turn their attention towards breaking an even .500 win percentage and boasting a winning record for the first time this season.

They’ll have the arduous task of going into the Nutter Center in Dayton and defeating Wright State to do so. The Raiders are scoring an average of 77.2 points per game, while ranking 97th in the country in offensive efficiency. Indiana State coach Greg Lansing has likely been twisting his brain into pretzels trying to figure out ways of slowing them down with one of the nation’s worst defenses.

Unless Lansing is a miracle worker, his only hope will be Tyreke Key leading the Sycamores to victory in an offensive shootout. It’s the only realistic option against a Wright State team allowing 71.7 points per game The Sycamores will need Jordan Barnes and Cooper Neese to be greater offensive threats if they have any hope of coming away with an upset.

Offense is key for Wright State

The Raiders are fortunate they don’t have to depend on their defense to win basketball games. It wouldn’t be a good look with them allowing a 43.7 field goal shooting percentage to opponents. The team is also giving up 71.7 points per game. Those defensive limitations are a big reason why they’ve been riding the struggle bus with near losses to Miami (Ohio) and Western Kentucky.

But the offense has been game-changing.

Even without center Loudon Love on the floor, the combination of Bill Wampler and Cole Gentry has lifted the Raiders offense and helped carry the team to a 7-3 record on the season. They’ll be like sharks in bloody waters when facing a Sycamores defense allowing an average 46.7 shooting percentage on the road.

It also doesn’t help matters for Indiana State with the Raiders averaging plus-10 in rebounds. That average obviously doesn’t take into account the absence of Love. He was averaging 13.6 points and 8.7 rebounds before going down with an injury.

The Raiders could just be scratching the surface of what they’re capable of doing once Love returns.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Love is questionable for Saturday’s game against Indiana State.

Even without him on the floor, Indiana State isn’t built to stop this Wright State team defensively. They aren’t built to score with them, either.

The Sycamores are averaging 70.9 points per game taking on a Raiders team averaging 76.1 points. Wright State has the deeper bench of the two teams, and they are built better to consistently get buckets over the course of a 40-minute marathon game.

Yet, the greatest weakness for the Sycamores has to be their atrocious rebounding. They rank 331st in the country with a mere average of 29.7 rebounds per game. Wright State has obviously dipped a bit in that department with Love sidelined, but others have continuously stepped up in a desperate attempt to fill that void. The same will be the case against a Sycamores team with no answers. They’ll get dominated on the boards, and Key won’t get the collective help he needs to lead the team to their first road win of the season.

I’m laying the points and taking the Raiders.

Prediction: Wright State Raiders (5.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Let the Saturday afternoon offensive shootout begin.

Indiana State hasn’t been a team that has consistently scored a bunch of points this season, but they do rank 69th in the country in offensive efficiency. That’s simply another reason why Wright State must be sure to take them seriously.

Key has remained a dominant presence on the offensive end of the floor for the Sycamores. I can’t envision that changing against a Wright State team constantly struggling to put things together defensively. If not for their offense and Love’s head start, the Raiders would be in a much worse spot right now. I’m taking the over betting total here.

Prediction: Over (147)
Loading...

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.