Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#779 South Alabama 138.5 vs.
#780 Richmond -8
Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.



#779 University of South Alabama
#780 University of Richmond


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Richmond will attempt to improve to 8-1 on the season when the Spiders host South Alabama in a non-conference clash on Sunday afternoon. The Jaguars enter the game with a 5-3 record, but they haven’t played since an overtime loss to La Salle on Nov. 27 in the Gulf Coast Showcase. Richmond is coming off a road win against Hampton on Tuesday.

South Alabama led by four seniors

South Alabama has gone on a pair of winning streaks this season, but the Jaguars have also had some losses mixed in as well. They opened the year with a pair of wins against Pikeville College and Southern Miss. Then came a heartbreaking loss against then-No. 22 Auburn, as South Alabama lost by one point as 7-point underdogs. The Jaguars could not recover in their next contest, losing to Chattanooga by 18 points on the road. They picked up a three-game winning streak following those losses, beating Spring Hill, Northeastern and Miami (Ohio). South Alabama lost to La Salle in its most recent game.

The Jaguars are led by four seniors. Guard Andre Fox leads the way with 17.8 points per game. He is the best 3-point shooter on the team, connecting on 17 of 47 attempts from beyond the arc. Forward Josh Ajayi is second on the squad in scoring with 15.6 points per game and leads the team with 8.0 rebounds per contest. Guard Chad Lott is adding 14.1 points and 6.4 rebounds per outing. Forward Trhae Mitchell is contributing 10.9 points per game and 4.1 boards per game. He leads the team in assists per game with 2.4 dimes per contest.

Richmond playing well

Richmond is off to a hot start this season. The Spiders opened the year on a five-game winning streak, beating St. Francis-Pennsylvania, Vanderbilt, Cal State Northridge, McNeese State and Wisconsin. Their lone loss came in a 14-point road loss against Auburn. They have rebounded with wins against Boston College and Hampton. The Spiders were 15 of 29 from downtown in the win against Hampton on Tuesday.

Junior guard Blake Francis leads the team with 18.4 points per game and 3.0 assists per game. He is 25 of 59 from beyond the 3-point line. Junior guard Jacob Gilyard is scoring 17.5 points per game and leads the team with 6.3 assists per game. He is an efficient 23 of 44 from deep. Junior guard Nick Sherod is scoring 15.1 points per game and is adding 4.9 rebounds per outing. He is also shooting the rock well from downtown, making 27 of 59 from distance. Junior forward Grant Golden is also in double figures, adding 12.0 points per game and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I like South Alabama to cover the spread in this game. These teams are built very similarly, with balanced scoring on both sides. I think the Jaguars match-up well here, so the spread is a little bit too high. Each team is efficient on the offensive side of the ball, but South Alabama is built to play a little more consistent each time out, as it doesn’t rely on the 3-point shot to beat its opponents. I expect the Jaguars to keep this contest close enough to cover the spread as road underdogs.

Prediction: South Alabama

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Neither team plays at a fast pace, with both teams ranking in the low-200s in KenPom’s adjusted tempo rankings. However, those tempos just provide value to the over here. Despite the slow-paced offenses, these teams are each very efficient in the half court. Richmond is No. 29 in adjusted offense, while South Alabama is No. 74. Five out of the Jaguars’ seven games that have had betting odds this year have gone over the total, and I expect that to continue on Sunday afternoon. Richmond has had six games in a row go under the number, so the market is going to overcorrect heading into this one.

Prediction: Over

Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.