Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#781 William & Mary -2 vs.
#782 Fairfield 128.5
Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#781 College of William & Mary
#782 Fairfield University
6-3
2-6
11-17-1
13-17-1
14-15
11-20
74
66
76
69

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A pair of mid-major programs take the floor when the Colonial Athletic Association takes the floor against the MAAC in a non-conference tilt. The William & Mary Tribe is on the road as they travel to face the Fairfield Stags Sunday afternoon. William & Mary dropped Old Dominion 63-46 at home in their most recent contest Tuesday night. Fairfield dumped Texas A&M 67-62 in their last game, which came last Sunday. The Stags own a 2-1 edge in the all-time series between the teams but the Tribe earned a 71-50 triumph in the most recent meeting on December 31, 2007.

William & Mary Tribe Seeking Third Win in Four Games

William & Mary earned their second win in the last three games as they bounced back from a loss to Buffalo by dropping Old Dominion. The Tribe now looks to make it three wins in four games here as they take to the road. William & Mary led nearly the entire way as the lone time they trailed was 2-0 in the opening minute of the game. The Tribe led by four at the half and held a three-point lead early in the second half before going on an 11-4 run to take a 10-point edge. William & Mary led comfortably the rest of the way to earn the triumph. The Tribe shot 37.7 percent from the field, including seven of 25 from three-point range, and limited the Monarchs to 28.6 percent shooting in the contest. Nathan Knight led William & Mary with 14 points and 10 rebounds in the win.

The Tribe averages 73.6 points per game on offense, putting them 160th in the nation in scoring offense this season. William & Mary pulls down 35.3 rebounds per contest and dishes out 14.4 assists a night. The Tribe struggles on the defensive end of the floor as they are 244th in scoring defense by allowing 71.6 points per game. Nathan Knight leads William & Mary with 20.3 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. Andy Van Vliet contributes 14.1 points plus nine boards a game while Thornton Scott (12.8 points, 4.5 rebounds) and Luke Loewe (12.1 points) are averaging in double figures. Bryce Barnes, Miguel Ayesa and Quinn Blair are all important contributors in the rotation. William & Mary shoots 48.2 percent from the floor as a team. The Tribe drains 8.5 three pointers a game while sinking 38.3 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. William & Mary is an average team from the charity stripe as they shoot 71.9 percent as a team at the line this season.

Fairfield Stags Try to Earn Back to Back Wins

Fairfield snapped a four-game skid as they edged Texas A&M in the seventh-place game of the Orlando Invitational last Sunday. The Stags now look to make it back to back wins here. Fairfield trailed by seven in the first half and by four at halftime against the Aggies. The Stags trailed by as many as six in the second half and was tied midway through the second half before going on a 7-0 run to take the lead for good. Fairfield shot 43.1 percent from the field, including 12 of 29 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 30-21. Landon Taliaferro led the Stags with 34 points in the game, including a school-record 10 three-pointers.

The Stags are 331st in the nation in scoring offense as they average just 61.5 points per game in Jay Young’s first season as head coach. Fairfield pulls down an average of 32.4 boards per contest this season while dishing out 10.6 assists per game. The Stags are 142nd in the nation in scoring defense by giving up 66.8 points per game on the year. Landon Taliaferro leads the team with 16.5 points per game this season. Jesus Cruz (15.1 points, 5.1 rebounds) is the only other player scoring in double figures this season. Taj Benning, Vincent Eze, Wassef Methnani, Calvin Whipple and Chris Maidoh are all looked at to contribute for the Stags. Fairfield shoots 41.1 percent from the field this season as a team. The Stags connect on 6.6 three-pointers a night while hitting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc. Fairfield is a mediocre team at the charity stripe, draining 71.1 percent of their attempts on the season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This one is going to be an interesting contest. William & Mary has four guys scoring in double figures this season and have been good on the glass. The Tribe now has to contend with a Stags team that has some momentum and is coming off an upset win over Texas A&M. Taliaferro was named the MAAC Player of the Week last week for his showing and he was 10 of 15 from beyond the arc against the Aggies. The Stags aren’t going to be a pushover for anyone and they’ll test the Tribe here. In the end, William & Mary’s size and offensive production does enough to let them escape with a win.

Prediction: William & Mary Tribe -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses this season. William & Mary is good on the offensive end but they have had problems on the defensive end of the floor. The Tribe has held opposing teams to 32 percent shooting from beyond the arc, which will be an interesting challenge given Taliaferro's torching of Texas A&M last week. Fairfield has had issues on the offensive end of the floor but their defense has kept them in games. The Stags have to improve on their 41.4 percent shooting from the floor. Can they do some damage against the Tribe?

The under is 6-2 in the Tribe's last 8 games as a road favorite, 6-2 in their last eight on Sunday and 5-2 in their last seven as a favorite. Fairfield has seen the under go 4-0 in their last four against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 10-2 in their last 12 at home and 9-2 in their last 11 after an ATS win. Look for this one to be a tight, low-scoring game that ends up under the mark.

Prediction: Under 130

Half-Time Side Pick

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William & Mary has been involved in quite a few tight games in the first half this season. The Tribe owns a razor thin +0.1 ppg margin in the first half this season, which is tied for 164th in first half scoring margin. Fairfield is 257th in first half scoring margin with a -3.4 ppg differential in the opening 20 minutes of games. Given the fact that the Stags have struggled to put points on the board, regardless of what point of the game it is, you have to give the Tribe the edge at the half.

Prediction: William & Mary Tribe

Half-Time Total Bet

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William & Mary is 126th in first-half scoring offense with 34.2 ppg this season. The Tribe stands tied for 227th in scoring defense as they allow 34.1 first-half ppg this season. That gives an average of 68.3 ppg in the first half of their games this season. William & Mary is tied for 188th in pace as they have an average of 71.7 possessions per game. Fairfield stands tied for 311th in first half scoring offense with an average of 27.6 ppg this season. The Stags have been solid defensively, ranking tied for 123rd by allowing 31 ppg in the opening 20 minutes. That puts the normal first half of the Stags at 58.6 ppg this season. Fairfield slows the pace as they are tied for 331st in pace by having 67 possessions per game. Even splitting it down the middle, you'd expect this one to end up short of the mark at the half.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.