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Kansas vs. TCU Prediction,
and Odds - 2-11-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#859 Kansas
Jayhawks 149
#860 TCU
Horned Frogs -2.5

Monday, February 11, 2019 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas Jayhawks

18 - 6


TCU Horned Frogs

17 - 6


Betting Trends


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For our Top Free Plays, check out today’s Deep-3:

The Kansas Jayhawks are reeling with a depleted roster and four losses in their last seven games as they prepare to visit the TCU Horned Frogs at Schollmaier Arena on Monday night. Kansas at least managed to beat Oklahoma State at home on Saturday. The Horned Frogs are coming off consecutive victories over Oklahoma State and Iowa State.


Having lost four players in their rotation since the beginning of the season, the Jayhawks started four freshmen for the second time in head coach Bill Self’s 16-year tenure during Saturday’s 84-72 victory over Oklahoma State. Now, 14th-ranked Kansas looks to maintain some semblance of momentum while hoping to end a four-game road losing streak Monday against TCU. With Udoka Azubuike (13.4 points, 6.8 rebounds per game), Lagerald Vick (14.1 ppg, 45.5 three-point percentage), Marcus Garrett (7.2 ppg, 1.8 spg), and Silvio De Sousa out for various reasons, Ochai Agbaji stepped up to the tune of 23 points on five three-pointers against the Cowboys. Devon Dotson added 18 points, five rebounds, and four assists, while Quentin Grimes drained a pair of threes during a 16-2 second-half run that broke open a close game. With that, the Jayhawks bounced back from a seven-point loss to conference leader Kansas State last Tuesday and avenged a 2017-18 home loss to Oklahoma State. The last time Self started four freshmen was 2013-14: Joel Embiid, Frank Mason III, Andrew Wiggins, and Wayne Selden.

“We did not have any [energy] in Manhattan (against Kansas State),” Self admitted. “We have to go down there (to TCU) with a purpose and a focus. People talk about running plays and all that. It doesn’t matter what you run as long as you have energy and passion. It’s contagious. I think we have some guys out there we can feed off of.”

Despite the play of the freshmen, Kansas most likely would not have beaten the Cowboys without the effort from Dedric Lawson (19.6 ppg, 10.6 rpg). He delivered 25 points, seven rebounds, and five assists as the Jayhawks remained 1.5 games behind Kansas State in their quest for a 15th consecutive Big 12 regular-season title. Junior reserve Mitch Lightfoot had six points, nine rebounds and two blocks in 20 minutes off the bench to energize the crowd Saturday.

“We all appreciate a guy that goes out there and gives us so much effort,” Lawson said of Lightfoot, who is averaging 1.9 ppg in 22 games this season. “With the limited time that he’s been given (this season), you’ve just got to tip your hat out to a guy like that. That’s much respect…. We just look forward to him stepping up and being another impact player for us.”

Statement win

TCU is riding a wave of confidence after beating a ranked team on the road for the first time in 21 years. Freshman Kendric Davis provided a lot energy and scored a career-high 22 points, while junior Desmond Bane added 17 points, six rebounds, and three steals en route to a 92-83 upset at 16th-ranked Iowa State on Saturday.

Kouat Noi (seven rebounds, three three-pointers) and guard Alex Robinson (five assists, two threes) each scored 17 points against the Cyclones. Kevin Samuel added six points, seven rebounds, and five blocks as the Horned Frogs shot 53.2 percent from the field. Davis (6.0 ppg), whose previous high was 14 points against Lipscomb earlier this season, went 7-of-10 from the floor–including 2-of-3 from beyond the arc. He added four assists in 29 minutes off the bench. Forward J.D. Miller scored six points against Iowa State, giving him 994 for his career–six away from becoming the 38th Horned Frog with 1,000. Miller, who played in the 126th game of his career, is on pace to break the record of 136 by Brandon Parrish. Noi has drained at least one three in 22 consecutive games and Samuel boasts multiple blocks in six of his last eight games.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

KU’s David McCormack, a 6’10” freshman, joined the starting lineup in place of Vick (personal) and went scoreless on three shots but grabbed five rebounds and blocked a shot in 14 minutes of action. He will have to do a lot more than that if Kansas wants to get the best of TCU. Although the Jayhawks won the first meeting 77-68 on Jan. 9, it was relatively competitive and now home-court advantage has flipped and the two teams have gone in different directions since that point in time. The Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four following a win, 1-5 ATS in their last six against winning opponents, and 1-4 ATS in their last five against opponents with winning percentages over .600. TCU is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 at home against opponents with road winning percentages under .400.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs

Full-Game Total Pick

Bane leads TCU in scoring (15.0 ppg) while adding 5.3 rpg and 2.7 apg. Noi averages 14.8 ppg and shoots 39.3 percent from beyond the arc with a team-leading 48 three-pointers. Robinson comes in at 12.9 ppg and 7.4 apg. This team is pouring in points with ease and Kansas continues to suffer defensively without Azubuike. The over is 23-11-2 in the Jayhawks’ last 36 overall, 4-1 in their last five against the Big 12, and 5-1 in their last six against opponents with winning percentages over .600. It is also 4-0 the Horned Frogs’ last four overall, 4-0 in their last four against the Big 12, 5-1 in their last six at home against opponents with losing road records, and 10-1 in their last 11 at home against opponents with road winning percentages under .400.

Prediction: Over

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.


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