For our Top Free Plays, check out today’s Deep-3:
Baylor enters the week with a 6-4 record in league play and the Bears can earn a share of second place with a victory versus the Sooners. Meanwhile, the Sooners need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Will Baylor be able to keep pace in the Big 12 at home on Monday night?
Sooners can’t stop slide, lose fourth straight
Oklahoma was unable to stop their current slide, falling at home to Texas Tech 66-54 at home to push their losing streak to a season-high four games. Rashard Odomes scored 14, while Brady Manek and Christian James chipped in 11 apiece for Oklahoma, which shot just 36.2 percent from the field on the night.
Back on the road tomorrow when the #Sooners face Baylor on Big Monday.
— Oklahoma Basketball (@OU_MBBall) February 10, 2019
Lon Kruger has guided in the Sooners to a 15-9 overall record this season and they enter the week slotted at No. 40 in the latest KenPom rankings. Oklahoma comes in scoring 108.7 points per 100 possessions for the year (80th in the NCAA), but that number has dropped to 96.7 points per 100 possessions during Big 12 play (9th in the Big 12). The Sooners have shot just 46.0 percent from two-point range (9th in the Big 12) and 30.5 percent from deep (9th in the Big 12) through their first 11 league games.
On defense, Kruger’s squad has surrendered only 93.2 points per 100 possessions for the season, but that number has also been trending in the wrong direction during conference play, jumping to 104.8 points per 100 possessions (6th in the Big 12) against league opponents.
Bears pegged as a No.8-seed in tourney projections
Baylor dropped its second consecutive Big 12 contest over the weekend, falling at home to Kansas State 70-63 on Saturday. Devonte Bandoo scored a team-high 15 points, while Jared Butler and Freddie Gillespie added 13 apiece in a losing effort for the Bears, who led by seven points midway through the second half.
— Brooke Bednarz (@BrookeB_KXXV) February 11, 2019
Scott Drew’s squad comes into the week ranked No. 34 in the latest KenPom rankings following their 6-4 start to the conference season. The Bears are currently pegged as a No.8-seed in ESPN Bracketologist Joe Lunardi’s current NCAA Tournament projections despite losing their last two games. Baylor has scored 113.4 points per 100 possessions for the season (28th in the NCAA) and they’ve sustained their efficiency on offense during league play, averaging a healthy 113.7 points per 100 possessions through their first 10 Big 12 contests (1st in the Big 12). They sport the top effective field goal percentage in the conference at 53.9 percent (1st in the Big 12) and they have also hauled in a league-high 39.5 percent of their missed field goal attempts (1st in the Big 12) on the offensive glass. The Bears are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc (1st in the Big 12) and 51.1 percent from two-point range during the conference season (3rd in the Big 12), but they ’ve turned the ball over on 19.3 percent of their offensive possessions (7th in the Big 12).
- 7-2 ATS last 9 after an ATS loss.
- 6-2 ATS last 8 home games.
- 4-1 ATS last 5 Monday games.
- 8-17-1 ATS last 26 vs. Big 12.
- 1-5 ATS last 6 in series.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Sooners are clinging to their NCAA Tournament hopes right now. Joe Lunardi currently has them pegged as a No. 10-seed, but a loss here could really hurt their chances for an at-large bid. The Bears rank as the top offensive team in the conference and they can cause problems for opponents in a variety of ways. After two straight losses, I expect Baylor to come out with a strong effort en route to covering the spread at home on Monday night.
Prediction: Pick: Baylor Bears
Full-Game Total Pick
The Bears generate extra possessions on the offensive glass at a high rate and they also rank as the top three-point shooting team in the Big 12. While the Sooners aren’t necessarily efficient offensively, they do a good job of taking care of the basketball, despite playing at one of the fastest tempos in the conference. Look for this game to go over the projected total on Monday evening.