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Arkansas vs. Missouri Prediction,
and Odds - 2-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#633 Arkansas
Razorbacks -1.5
#634 Missouri
Tigers 138

Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arkansas Razorbacks

14 - 9


Missouri Tigers

11 - 11


Betting Trends


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The Arkansas Razorbacks will be trying to get back on the winning track when they visit the Missouri Tigers at Mizzou Arena on Tuesday night. Arkansas had won three in a row before falling at South Carolina last weekend. The Tigers are coming off consecutive setbacks against Tennessee and Texas A&M.

Dialing long distance

Arkansas will look to move back above .500 in SEC play–and even its SEC record–when it goes on the road to face Missouri. Head coach Mike Anderson’s teams enjoyed a significant home-court advantage at Mizzou Arena when he was leading the Tigers, but his Razorbacks have lost their last two forays to Missouri. Arkansas has been up-and-down on the road this season and it is coming off a 77-65 setback at South Carolina this past Saturday.

The Razorbacks thrive on their pressure defense, but they also feature a nice inside-outside combination at the offensive end. Preseason SEC Player of the Year Daniel Gafford (16.4 points, 8.7 rebounds per game) is a force inside, while freshman Isaiah Joe (14.1 ppg) and sophomore Mason Jones (13.8 ppg) have combined to knock down 132 three-pointers. Joe poured in 23 points in the first meeting with the Tigers. He needs one three-pointer (currently at 82) to match Rotnei Clarke’s school record (2009) for a freshman from the land of plenty. Arkansas has made a three in 1,000 consecutive games dating to 1989, the fifth-longest active streak in the nation.

A bit depleted

The Tigers are trying to snap a two-game skid and avoid slipping below .500 overall for the first time in second-year head coach Cuonzo Martin’s tenure. They have been short-handed of late, as three-point specialist Mark Smith has missed the last five games with an ankle injury and Jeremiah Tilmon sat out last Saturday’s 68-59 loss Texas A&M after having his wisdom teeth removed. Arkansas erased a 13-point deficit in a 70-62 home win over Missouri on Jan. 23–its seventh victory in the last nine meetings between the squads.

The Tigers led the SEC in three-point shooting for most of the season but have slipped to second in the conference at 36.7 percent. With Smith (12.6 points, 5.5 rebounds per game)–who shoots a conference-best 47.5 percent from beyond the arc–on the sidelines, Missouri’s offense has stalled the last four games. It’s unclear when he will return, but it won’t be on Tuesday. Jordan Geist (13.6 ppg) has had to attempt to carry the Tigers with Smith out, which was made more difficult without Tilmon (10.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg) anchoring the post.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Missouri freshman guard Javon Pickett scored a team-high 15 points against Texas A&M, marking the third straight contest in which he hit double digits. If Pickett can produce once again, the Tigers can make up for their current absences. They also have to confident given their most recent performance against the Razorbacks. Arkansas is 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the two teams and 2-5 ATS in its last seven trips to Missouri.

Prediction: Missouri Tigers

Full-Game Total Pick

Missouri is not exactly an offensive juggernaut to begin with, and Smith’s absence certainly doesn’t help. Moreover, Arkansas is a defensive-minded team. The under is 20-8 in the Tigers’ last 28 overall, 5-1 in their last six against the SEC, and 8-2 in their last 10 following a loss. It is also 19-8 in the Tigers’ last 27 at home against opponents with losing road records. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.


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