St. Bonaventure at Saint Joseph’s
When and Where: Tuesday, Feb. 12, Hagan Arena, Philadelphia, Pa., 6:30 p.m. EST.
After rallying around their coach to provide a cathartic victory, Saint Joseph’s seeks back-to-back conference wins for the first time this season Tuesday night when it hosts St. Bonaventure.
Bonnies look to continue dominance of Hawks
Though St. Bonaventure (9-14, 5-5 Atlantic 10) will not return to the NCAA Tournament barring a miraculous run to win the A-10 conference tournament, Mark Schmidt’s team does have a chance to complete a season sweep of Saint Joseph’s.
The Bonnies, who are seeking a fourth straight road win, have won nine of the last 10 games between the teams after stifling the Hawks 73-47 at home Jan. 9. St. Bonaventure yielded just 12 first-half points in building a 27-point halftime lead and limited the Hawks to 29.1 percent shooting while placing all five starters in double figures.
St. Bonaventure dropped back to .500 in conference play after getting thumped 85-55 at home by VCU on Saturday. Courtney Stockard had 15 points, but the Bonnies’ perimeter woes persisted as they missed 17 of 18 3-point shots.
— Bonnies MBB (@BonniesMBB) February 9, 2019
“I think the stats speak for themselves,” Schmidt told the school’s official website after being denied in a bid to pull even with Larry Wiese atop the school’s all-time wins list with 201. “From an offensive standpoint, we didn’t play well at all. We couldn’t make any shots. We turned the ball over. (VCU) deserved to win. We didn’t play well. It was the worst game of the year.”
St. Bonaventure is not a good 3-point shooting team at 30.5 percent, but it has been dire the last three games. The Bonnies have made just 9 of 57 (15.8 percent) from beyond the arc the last three games. They are 13 for 47 (27.7) from deep during their three-game road winning streak.
Freshman guard Kyle Lofton was held under double digits for just the third time Saturday, finishing with seven points on 3-of-15 shooting. He is second on the Bonnies in scoring at 14.4 points per game, with Stockard pacing the offense at 16.2 per contest.
Hawks thrash Saint Louis in emotional tribute to Martelli’s father
Saint Joseph’s (11-13, 4-7) has not played to expectations this season, but in coming together following the death of coach Phil Martelli’s father mid-week, it put together its most complete effort of the season.
— SJU Hawks MBB (@SJUHawks_MBB) February 11, 2019
Charlie Brown banked a 3-pointer in the first possession, and the Hawks took off from there and pounded Saint Louis 91-61 on Friday night. Brown finished with 28 points and nine rebounds while freshman Jared Bynum added 20 points as Saint Joseph’s shot a season-best 55.9 percent and hit 12 3-pointers.
“There was a guiding hand on some of the balls that went in. Jared Bynum was terrific. Charlie Brown was really special, early,” an emotional Martelli told the school’s official website post-game. “I can’t say enough about the coaches. The coaches practiced with them Wednesday. It was Geoff Arnold’s scout, he prepared them. And even looking forward to St. Bonaventure on Tuesday, Mark Bass has already started his scout, and Dave Duda has worked the offense. So it was special.”
It was the second straight game the Hawks shot well from the perimeter after drilling 14 of 26 from beyond the arc in an 83-69 loss at La Salle last Tuesday night. Saint Joseph’s is connecting at a 32.9 percent clip from deep but 6-3 when it hits 10 or more treys.
Brown leads the A-10 in scoring at 20.3 points per game and has averaged 24.0 in his last six contests. He was held to 11 in the loss at St. Bonaventure, missing all four of his 3-point attempts and shooting 4 for 13 overall.
The sophomore guard has also played all but three of a possible 280 minutes in the last seven games. Brown has averaged 12.0 points in three games against the Bonnies but shot 26.8 percent (11 for 41) in those games, including 3 for 22 from deep.
Saint Joseph’s is:
- 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following a straight up win.
- 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. sub-.400 teams.
- 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win.
- The under is 6-1 in its last seven games as a home favorite.
- The under is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
- The under is 17-8 in its last 25 games vs. sub-.400 teams.
St. Bonaventure is:
- 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games vs. sub-.500 teams.
- 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.
- The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games between the teams.
- The under is 10-2 in its last 12 road games vs. teams with an above-.500 home record.
- The under is 4-1 in its last five road games following a double-digit loss at home.
- The under is 9-1 in its last 10 road games vs. teams with an above-.600 home record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
This is a pick based on the Bonnies’ current road form, their recent mastery of Saint Joseph’s, and also the Hawks inability to string together wins in conference play. A lesser factor is whether Martelli’s team is emotionally spent following a very trying weekend.
Though St. Bonaventure did run into a buzzsaw against VCU, the Rams have shown at times this season they can play that type of game and beat anyone on a given night. The Bonnies, in fact, had such a game in the first meeting with the Hawks.
This game will obviously be closer than the first, but the Bonnies’ loss to VCU has the feel of a single-game clunker as opposed to something systematically wrong and will have just enough to sweep the Hawks.
Prediction: Pick St. Bonaventure +2
Full-Game Total Pick
The teams played to a paltry 120 in the first meeting, but St. Bonaventure’s strong play on the road has been tied to a stingy defense. It has been at 123 points and lower during its three-game road winning streak. Also in the under’s favor is the Bonnies have shot under 30 percent in their last two games. The expectation is they will shoot better without sacrificing the “D” to make the under hit against a Hawks team that runs hot and cold.
This line has dipped 1.5 points since its open to 134, so if you’re on board with the under, hopefully you got in early.
Prediction: Pick: UNDER 135.5 points
Full-Game Prop Bet
Aside from its 3-0 start to the season, the Hawks have not scored more than 70 points in any game following a victory. They also have been held to 60 or under on three such occasions. And given how the Bonnies stifled them in the first meeting and held them to 67 or fewer in three of the last five meetings, the under for the Hawks is the play.
Prediction: Pick: Saint Joseph’s UNDER 68 points
Half-Time Side Pick
Prior to its clunker against VCU, St. Bonaventure had led after 20 minutes in its prior five contests — three of which were on the road. The Hawks had led at halftime just once in their last six games before Friday night’s win. While the Bonnies will not open a 27-point halftime lead like they did in the first game between the teams, they should be good value to be near even or ahead.
Prediction: Pick: St. Bonaventure +0.5
Half-Time Total Bet
There is little chance of Saint Joseph’s repeating its 12-point first half from the game in upstate New York, but the Bonnies have done a good job dictating tempo in their last three road games, which have all come in under 50 points in the first half. This will be a challenge for them given Saint Joseph’s has been at 66 and higher in its last five A-10 games, but given St. Bonaventure’s recent run in this series, the under is the play.
Prediction: Pick: UNDER 62.5 points
Half-Time Prop Prediction
This is a confidence pick in the Bonnies controlling the tempo and turning the first half into a crawl. They have been held to 31 or less in six of the eight games since scoring 39 against Saint Joseph’s, including five games of 27 or less.
Prediction: Pick: St. Bonaventure UNDER 31 points