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Central Michigan vs. Northern Illinois,
2-13-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#537 Central Michigan
Chippewas -1
#538 Northern Illinois
Huskies 150.5

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Central Michigan Chippewas

15 - 10

12-7
ATS
10-10
O/U
78
PPG
71
OPPG

Northern Illinois Huskies

10 - 14

10-10
ATS
12-9
O/U
74
PPG
75
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Central Michigan Chippewas will head on the road on Tuesday night for a Mid-American Conference showdown against the Northern Illinois Huskies.

The Huskies enter Tuesday’s game tied with the Chippewas for last place in the MAC West division with a 4-8 conference record.

Chippewas struggle from free throw line in loss

Central Michigan lost their second straight game on Saturday, falling on the road to Akron 69-63. Shawn Roundtree and Kevin McKay scored 14 points apiece to lead the Chippewas in scoring, but the team shot just 10-for-21 from the free throw line and 5-for-22 from the three-point line at Rhodes Arena to lose for the eighth time in their last 11 games.

The Chippewas are usually are trustworthy from the charity stripe. Even after their performance on Saturday, the team ranks first in the conference in team free throw percentage at 78.4 percent.

Central Michigan comes in scoring 106.7 points per 100 possessions during conference play (4th in the MAC), but Keno Davis’ squad is allowing 108.6 points per 100 possessions (10th in the MAC) on the defensive end of the floor.

The Chippewas shoot a lot of threes and crash the offensive glass to generate second chance opportunities on offense. The team has shot 45.9 percent of their total field goal attempts from beyond the arc (2nd in the MAC), hitting just 33.3 percent of those three-point attempts (9th in the MAC). But, the Chippewas have been able to make up for it by sporting the best offensive rebounding percentage in the MAC at 31.7 percent.

Huskies coming off of big win vs. Buffalo

The Huskies are coming off of their most impressive victory of the season. Northern Illinois upset then-conference leading Buffalo at home 90-88 on Saturday. Eugene German finished with a game-high 28 points and Levi Bradley scored 22 to help the Huskies overcome a 13-point second half deficit. German made a tough floater with four seconds left in overtime to give the Huskies their first win since Jan. 23.

The Huskies rank as one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Northern Illinois has allowed teams to score at a rate of 113.1 points per 100 possessions this season (312th in the NCAA). During conference play, opposing teams own an effective field goal percentage of 55.7 percent (12th in the MAC) and a two-point field goal percentage of 56.6 percent (12th in the MAC) against the Huskies’ defense.

Northern Illinois comes in scoring 105.9 points per 100 possessions during the conference season (5th in the MAC), despite shooting just 30.3 percent from three-point range in league play.

The Huskies have gotten 60.2 percent of their total points from inside the arc during conference play (1st in the MAC). The team has shot 53.1 percent from two-point range (3rd in the MAC) and 75.8 percent from the free throw line(2nd in the MAC , but just 30.3 percent from beyond the arc (12th in the MAC) during league play.

Trends

Central Michigan

  • Chippewas are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. Mid-American.
  • Chippewas are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Northern Illinois

  • Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

The Chippewas have not performed well away from home this season. Opposing teams have shot 54.6 percent from inside the arc against Central Michigan’s defense this year and the Huskies take over 70 percent of their shots from two-point range. Northern Illinois has been tough to beat at home and just took down Buffalo in a confidence-building comeback win. Take the Huskies to cover the spread at home in this MAC matchup on Tuesday night.

Pick: Northern Illinois Huskies

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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