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LSU vs. Alabama,
2-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#547 LSU
Tigers 147.5
#548 Alabama
Crimson Tide -7

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

LSU Tigers

14 - 10

10-8
ATS
10-11
O/U
78
PPG
73
OPPG

Alabama Crimson Tide

16 - 9

13-10
ATS
6-17
O/U
73
PPG
68
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Alabama hosts LSU on Tuesday night at Coleman Coliseum. The Crimson Tide have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games (4-3). The Tigers have split their last four games, the latest being an easy win over Mississippi at home. Alabama has won four straight meetings in this matchup.

Reath’s 28 points help Tigers blast Rebels, needs that momentum on the road

LSU has had a mixed bag of results over the conference season. While they seem to look better at home these days, they still haven’t looked great on the road — they’ve lost four straight, a defeat at Florida being the latest one. They’ll hope that they can bring some kind of momentum to Alabama after taking down Ole Miss, 82-66, last time out. They easily covered a 4.5-point favorite spread by hitting 50 percent of their shots and converting 18-of-24 free throws.

Four of the team’s starters hit double-figures in scoring, but Duop Reath (14.2 ppg) was incredibly efficient. He hit 10-of-12 from the field overall and finished with a team-high 26 points. He had just 13 points over his prior two games. Aaron Epps nearly notched a double-double with 11 points and 9 rebounds. Reserve guard Marshall Graves is questionable Tuesday with a shoulder injury.

Crimson Tide hold top-25 opponent to just 50 points

Speaking of inconsistency, Alabama keeps putting up random offensive results on the board and that’s alternated their victories and defeats. The latest win came against Tennessee at home, a surprising 78-50 beatdown of a top-25 team. They held a 10-point lead at halftime and never looked back as the opposition was held to just 23 points in the second half. The Crimson Tide hit 57.1 percent of their shots and blew them out despite converting just 5-of-14 3-pointers and 9-of-18 free throws.

Donta Hall (11 ppg) had the best overall game for Alabama. Not only did he notch a double-double that consisted of 17 points and 11 rebounds, but he only missed two shots overall (8-for-10). The only weakness he had was missing three of his four free throw attempts, but other performances by Collin Sexton (16 points) and John Petty (14 points) made up for it.

Trends

LSU is:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games
  • 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games

Alabama is:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games
  • 11-4 ATS in their last 15 SEC games

While results haven’t been very consistent for Alabama, their defense has. They’ve held their last four opponents to 69 points or less — two of them to just 50 points.

Pick: Alabama

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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