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Miami - OH vs. Eastern Michigan,
2-13-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#535 Miami - OH
Redhawks 130.5
#536 Eastern Michigan
Eagles -5.5

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami - OH Redhawks

13 - 12

14-8
ATS
9-13
O/U
71
PPG
68
OPPG

Eastern Michigan Eagles

14 - 11

10-9
ATS
7-12
O/U
71
PPG
67
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Miami (OH) RedHawks will travel to the Convocation Center on Tuesday evening for a Mid-American Conference matchup against the Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Both teams enter this game trying to distinguish themselves from a crowded pack of teams piled in the middle of the conference standings. Six teams are between 7-5 and 5-7 in league play so far this season. The Eagles come in at 5-7 in conference play, while the RedHawks own a 6-6 record in league play.

RedHawks defending the three-point line at a high level

The RedHawks dropped their second straight conference affair on Friday, falling at home to Toledo 73-67. Darrian Ringo scored a team-high 16 points, while Logan McLane chipped in 15 for the RedHawks, who shot a combined 4-for-27 from three-point range on the evening.

Miami (OH) comes in scoring 103.9 points per 100 possessions during conference play (6th in the MAC), while allowing 101.2 points per 100 possessions on the defensive end of the floor (5th in the MAC).

The RedHawks do a good job of defending the three-point line and limiting second-chance opportunities on defense. Opposing teams own an offensive rebounding rate of 24.4 percent (1st in the MAC) and a three-point shooting percentage of 32.6 percent (2nd in the MAC) against the RedHawks’ defense during league play this year.

The RedHawks play at a slow pace and it has helped them take care of the basketball on the offensive end. On average, they take 19.1 seconds per offensive possession (12th in the MAC), but the team is turning the ball over just 17.1 percent of the time on offense so far during conference play (5th in the MAC).

Eagles playing well on the defensive end

Eastern Michigan suffered a tough 70-63 overtime loss on the road at Bowling Green on Saturday. Elijah Minnie scored a team0high 17 points, while James Thompson chipped in 10 points and 11 board in a losing effort for the Eagles. Eastern Michigan led by as many as 19 points in the first half and squandered a late lead to snap a two-game winnings streak.

Rob Murphy’s squad has failed to generate consistent offense during MAC play so far this season. The Eagles come into Tuesday’s matchup scoring 97.6 points per 100 possessions (11th in the MAC), which is 2.3 points per 100 possessions worse than their season average.

Turnovers have been a major problem for the Eagles during conference play. Eastern Michigan has turned the ball over on 20.7 points per 100 possessions (12th in the MAC) during league play. The team has also connected on just 62.9 percent of their free throw attempts since the start of the conference season (12th in the MAC).

Despite their ineptitude on offense, the Eagles have been able to stay in games by thwarting opposing teams on the other end of the floor. Eastern Michigan ranks first in the MAC in several major defensive categories so far this season. The Eagles are allowing just 99.0 points per 100 possessions during conference play (1st in the MAC). They have forced turnovers on 20.7 percent of their defensive possessions (1st in the MAC), while limiting their conference opponents to an effective field goal percentage of just 46.2 percent (1st in the MAC). They also own the top defensive block rate (19.4 percent) and steal rate (11.2 percent) in the conference.

Trends

Miami (OH)

  • Red Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Eastern Michigan

  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

The RedHawks are the more balanced team, but Eastern Michigan has been tough to beat at home during league play. The Eagles will be hungry to get back in the win column after taking a tough overtime loss in their last game. Eastern Michigan will bother the RedHawks with their length and cover the spread at home in this conference matchup on Tuesday night.

Pick: Eastern Michigan Eagles

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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