Ohio Bobcats (10-14 SU, 6-10-3 ATS, 9-10 O/U) vs. Toledo Rockets (18-7 SU, 12-10 ATS, 11-11 O/U)
NCAAB: Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 7:00 p.m. EST
The Toledo Rockets are 10-1 in their last 11 games and have won three straight heading into a home date with the Ohio Bobcats at Savage Arena on Tuesday night. Toledo is coming off consecutive victories over Akron, Northern Illinois, and Miami (OH). The Bobcats are 1-6 in their last seven contests following a loss at Western Michigan this past Saturday.
These two Mid-American Conference rivals squared off in Ohio on Jan. 16, when the Rockets picked up a dominant 91-57 road victory. The Bobcats shot just 34.9 percent from the floor and they made only three of 15 attempts from three-point range. It was all but over by halftime, when Ohio trailed 44-25 and never got close than 16 points the rest of the way while trailing by as many as 35 points at one stage.
“I’ve never been in such a bad home loss,” fourth-year head coach Saul Phillips admitted. “I’ll make sure it will never happen again. We came out tonight and clearly weren’t as interested in reversing the ball. It ultimately all falls on me because it’s my job that we do those things. That’s it.”
Things have not been quite as bad for Ohio, but they also haven’t gotten much better. The Bobcats are 2-5 since their loss to Toledo, including 1-5 in their last six contests. They are coming off a 69-60 loss at Western Michigan in which they committed a season-high 20 turnovers.
The Rockets have won 13 of their last 15 games since beginning the season with an unspectacular 5-5 record. They are enjoying a three-game lead in the Mid-American Conference West Division over Ball State and Western Michigan. Toledo is tied with Buffalo for the conference’s best as it bids for its first regular-season MAC title since 2013-14. Tre’Shaun Fletcher is the only player in the MAC’s top 10 in points, rebounds, and assists with 18.8 ppg (third), 8.6 rpg (third), and 4.2 apg (fourth). Fletcher also tops the conference at 20.3 ppg in league contests. Jaelan Sanford ranks second on the team and sixth in the MAC with 16.7 ppg, while freshman Marreon Jackson is second in the conference with a 44.1 three-point percentage. Luke Knapke is third in the MAC at 57.8 percent from the floor, while Nate Navigato is fifth with 2.6 three-pointers made per game and seventh with a 41.0 three-point percentage.
Navigato poured in 19 points in last Friday’s 73-67 victory over Miami (OH), as the Rockets clamped down defensively and limited the RedHawks to 37.8 percent shooting from the floor and a laughable 4-of-27 performance from the land of plenty. Joining Navigato in double-figures were Fletcher (a team-best 11th double-double of the season with 18 points and 12 rebounds) and Sanford (15 points). Knapke blocked five shots to go along with seven points and eight rebounds in 26 minutes of work.
The Ohio Bobcats are:
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last six overall
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with winning records
The Toledo Rockets are:
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Mid-American Conference
- 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against Ohio
Ohio is 1-7 on the road this season. Toledo ranks 19th nationally with a 40.2 three-point percentage and it also tops the MAC at 47.2 percent from the floor, a 1.3 assist-to-turnover ratio, and 28.6 defensive rebounds per game. The Rockets are also second with 80.0 ppg, 15.6 apg, and 9.8 three-pointers made per outing. Ohio is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six overall, 1-4-1 ATS in its last six on the road, 0-3-1 ATS in its last four against winning opponents, 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine on the road against opponents with winning home records, and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six against the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against the Mid-American Conference, 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings between the two teams, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at home against the Bobcats. Count on those trends continuing.