Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-7; 9-11 ATS; 8-12 O/U) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (9-16; 6-16 ATS; 11-11 O/U)
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will attempt to rebound from a tough loss in a road matchup against the Vanderbilt Commodores in SEC action Wednesday night from the Memorial Gym. The Bulldogs fell 89-85 in overtime to Missouri on Saturday, and the Commodores dropped a 72-54 decision to Arkansas in their latest action. Mississippi State cruised to an 80-62 home win against Vanderbilt last month.
Bulldogs Fall Short in OT
The Mississippi State Bulldogs battled back to force OT but came up short in the extra frame in their 89-85 road loss to Missouri on Saturday to even their SEC record at 6-6. The Bulldogs posted a 44% clip from the field, while Missouri was able to shoot 48%. Bulldogs’ leading scorer Quinndary Weatherspoon wasn’t quite at his best in the defeat, recording 13 points on 5 for 13 shooting. The junior guard has scored 14 or fewer points in three straight games and is currently posting an average of 14.9 points on 50% shooting on the season. Aric Holman added 14 points and eight rebounds in Saturday’s loss. The junior forward is a strong defensive player, and overall he is having a terrific season, averaging 11.4 points and seven rebounds per game.
The Bulldogs had their four-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s loss, and they have now dropped five out of their six conference road games. They are currently ranked at 58th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. Mississippi State is scoring an average of 74.4 points per game, placing them 168th overall. They are playing strong defense as of late, and are limiting the opposition to 66.2 points, good for 39th in the country.
Commodores Shoot 25% in Loss to Arkansas
The Vanderbilt Commodores went cold in their rough 72-54 road loss to Arkansas on Saturday to fall to 3-9 in SEC play. The Commodores shot an abysmal 25% from the field, while Arkansas was able to shoot 46%. No one was able to reach double-digits in points in the loss with Commodores’ leading scorer Jeff Roberson going 2 for 10 from the field for eight points. The senior forward is playing well, scoring at least 20 points in five of his last seven games, and is now up to 16 points and seven rebounds per game. Riley LeChance only converted on 3 of his 11 shots for eight points in the Commodores’ latest action. The senior guard leads his team with a 40% efficiency from beyond the arc, and stands second in team scoring with 12.8 points per game.
Vanderbilt has dropped three out of their last four games and overall their defensive play has struggled in SEC action. They are playing the remainder of the season with third-leading scorer Matthew Fischer-Davis. The Commodores have fared well at home, posting a 4-2 record in SEC play and are placed at 87th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. They are now averaging 71.8 points per game, ranking them 238th overall. Vanderbilt is allowing an average of 72.9 points, positioning them 192nd in the country.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are:
- 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games at Vanderbilt.
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record.
The Vanderbilt Commodores are:
- 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss.
- 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
- 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
I am siding with Mississippi State in this one. Mississippi State is the better team on both offense and defense. The Bulldogs are limiting opponents to 40% shooting, ranking them 22nd in the country in field goal defense, and they are up against a weak shooting Vanderbilt team. Furthermore, Mississippi State has scored over 80 points in their last two road games, and Vanderbilt is well below average defensively. The Bulldogs have won four out of their last five games, plus they already notched an 80-62 win against Vanderbilt this season, and they should prevail again in this one.