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Cal Riverside vs. Cal State Northridge,
2-14-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#783 Cal Riverside
Highlanders 128.5
#784 Cal State Northridge
Matadors -1

Wednesday, February 14, 2018 at 10:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cal Riverside Highlanders

6 - 18

9-10
ATS
6-13
O/U
64
PPG
70
OPPG

Cal State Northridge Matadors

6 - 19

9-12
ATS
7-15
O/U
64
PPG
70
OPPG

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In a game only a mother (or someone wagering on it) could love, UC Riverside heads to Cal State Northridge in a Big West battle on Wednesday.  The Highlanders are 1-9 in conference and 6-18 overall, while the Matadors are 6-19 overall and 3-8 in the Big West.  They are both coming off of recent wins over Hawaii, with the Highlanders getting their first conference win and the Matadors beat them 77-71 in their latest.

These two teams have very similar points for and points against on the year.  UC Riverside is averaging 64.9 while giving up 70.3 points per game, while Northridge is scoring 64.6 while giving up 71 points exactly.  There’s not much that separates these two teams, although Northridge did beat them 66-57 earlier this season.

Highlanders lose to Irvine

UC Riverside was finally able to end their winless stretch in the Big West, but they were not able to start a win streak as they lost 62-52 to UC Irvine on Saturday.  Evan Leonard scored 18 points and Tommy Rutherford had 15 to pace the Anteaters, and the Highlanders couldn’t get on track offensively.  They shot only 31% from the field and only 18% from beyond the three point arc.

To make matters worse, they committed 21 turnovers.  You can maybe overcome bad shooting or a lot of turnovers, but you certainly can’t overcome both.  Best player Chance Murray shot only four of 16 from the field and no Highlander player scored more than 12 points.  They now have a winnable game on Wednesday.

Northridge is playing better

Cal State Northridge is playing better basketball than they have most of the year, although when you are 6-19 overall, that isn’t saying much.  They have won three of their last eight games and are coming in off of an impressive 77-71 win on the road at Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors have been falling apart, but it’s still not easy to go on the road and win in Hawaii and that’s what the Matadors did to improve to 3-8 in conference.

The Matadors were led by Tavrion Dawson and Michael Warren, both of who shot the ball well and both scored 22 points.  They were a combined 17 of 25 from the field and the Matadors needed it from the two starters as only one of the four players who came off the bench scored a point.

The UC Riverside Highlanders are:

  • 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.
  • 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

The Cal State Northridge Matadors are:

  • 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Northridge is playing some decent basketball right now and I think being at home will help them. I don’t think this game will be all that close.

Pick: Northridge

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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