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Dayton vs. George Mason,
2-14-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#735 Dayton
Flyers -4
#736 George Mason
Patriots 148

Wednesday, February 14, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Dayton Flyers

11 - 13

9-15
ATS
14-10
O/U
73
PPG
73
OPPG

George Mason Patriots

11 - 14

9-12
ATS
12-9
O/U
71
PPG
75
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Dayton Flyers (11-13; 9-14-1 ATS; 14-9 O/U) vs. George Mason Patriots (11-14; 9-12 ATS; 12-9 O/U)

The Dayton Flyers will look to rebound from a tough loss in a road matchup against the George Mason Patriots in A10 action Wednesday night from the Eaglebank Arena. The Flyers are coming off an 88-84 overtime loss to VCU, and the Patriots defeated George Washington by a 72-65 score in their latest action. This marks the first meeting this season, and Dayton defeated George Mason 83-70 in the lone meeting last season.

Flyers Edged in OT in Seventh A10 Loss of Season

The Dayton Flyers will be hungry for a win after falling 88-84 in OT to VCU on Saturday to drop their A10 record to 5-7. The Flyers shot 44% including a 14 for  35 mark from beyond the arc, while VCU was able to convert on 53% of their field goals. Flyers’ leading scorer Josh Cunningham made his presence felt with 15 points and six rebounds in the defeat. The junior forward is playing well, shooting at least 60% in five of his last six games, and is currently averaging 16.7 points on a stellar 67% field goal efficiency. Darrell Davis only managed 10 points on a 4 for 9 shooting performance in the loss to VCU. The senior guard has scored 15 or fewer points in six of his last seven games and is down to 16.3 points per game.

The Flyers have struggled to put consecutive wins together in conference play and they have now lost three out of their last four games due to shaky defensive play. They have dropped five of their six conference road games, and are placed at 132nd overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ranking. Dayton is currently averaging 74 points per game, ranking them 180th overall. They are allowing an average of 73.5 points, positioning them 217th in the country.

George Mason’s Rebounding Key in Home Win

The George Mason Patriots overcame a poor shooting performance in their 72-65 home win against George Washington on Saturday to bring their A10 record to 5-7. The Patriots only shot 40% from the field, however, they were able to out-rebound George Washington 44-35. Patriots’ leading scorer Otis Livingston II led the way with 14 points and nine assists in the win. The junior guard has scored at least 22 points in three of his last five games, improving his season average to 16.9 points on 44.9% shooting. Jaire Grayer played a key role in the Patriots’ latest win, netting 12 points along with 12 rebounds for his seventh double-double of the season. The junior guard has only scored a combined 19 points in his last three games and stands second in team scoring with 13.5 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

George Mason has responded from a four-game losing streak by winning two out of their last three games. They own a 3-3 home record in A10 action and are positioned at 237th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings. The Patriots are only averaging 71.1 points per game, ranking them 251st overall. They are weak defensively, conceding an average of 75.7 points, placing them 267th overall.

Trends:

The Dayton Flyers are:

  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.

The George Mason Patriots are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.

I am taking the points with George Mason in this one. Dayton is struggling on the road, losing four consecutive road games which were also all ATS losses. Their defensive play has not been sharp, as opponents are shooting 46% against them this season, and their three-point defense ranks down at 326th in the country. Furthermore, George Mason has already defeated St. Joseph’s and Saint Louis at home this season, and they should be able to keep this one very close against a Dayton team that is struggling on the road.

Pick: George Mason Patriots

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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