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Iowa vs. Michigan,
2-14-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#727 Iowa
Hawkeyes 149
#728 Michigan
Wolverines -11

Wednesday, February 14, 2018 at 6:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Iowa Hawkeyes

12 - 15

9-12
ATS
15-8
O/U
80
PPG
78
OPPG

Michigan Wolverines

20 - 7

15-11
ATS
11-15
O/U
73
PPG
63
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Iowa Hawkeyes (12-15; 9-12-2 ATS; 15-8 O/U) vs. #22 Michigan Wolverines (20-7; 15-10-1 ATS; 11-15 O/U)

The 22nd ranked Michigan Wolverines will target their fifth consecutive home win when they host the Iowa Hawkeyes in Big Ten action Wednesday night from the Crisler Center. The Hawkeyes were thumped 82-64 by Ohio State in their latest action, and the Wolverines tallied an 83-72 road win against Wisconsin in their previous contest. Michigan recorded a 75-68 road win against Iowa last month.

Hawkeyes Handled by Ohio State in 11th Big Ten Loss

The Iowa Hawkeyes were overmatched in both ends of the court in their 82-64 road loss to #14 Ohio State on Saturday to fall down to 3-11 in conference action. The Hawkeyes only converted on 42% of their shots, while the Buckeyes were able to shoot 52%. Jordan Bohannon netted 11 points on 4 for 11 shooting in the loss. The sophomore guard has drilled a total of eight three-pointers in his last two games, and now owns a stellar 44% clip from beyond the arc. Bohannon is second in team scoring with 13.6 points per game. Hawkeyes’ leading scorer Tyler Cook only tallied eight points in the loss to Ohio State. The sophomore forward is playing well, scoring at least 17 points in five of his last six games, increasing his season average to 15.6 points on 54% shooting.

The Hawkeyes have dropped three consecutive games and four out of their last five, primarily due to poor defensive play. They are now placed at 96th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings and own a 1-6 conference road record. Iowa is scoring an average of 80.1 points per game, ranking them 48th in the nation. They are allowing an average of 78.5 points, placing them down at 312th overall.

Wolverines Back on Track with Road Win vs. Badgers

The Michigan Wolverines got back in the win column with a solid 83-72 road win against Wisconsin on Sunday to boost their Big Ten record to 9-5. The Wolverines shot a sizzling 56% from the field, while the Badgers were able to post a 49% clip. Wolverines’ top scorer Moritz Wagner was outstanding, netting 20 points along with 11 rebounds for his sixth double-double of the season. The junior forward has scored 20 points in back-to-back games and is now up to 14.6 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Charles Matthews also played a key role in Sunday’s win, notching 11 points on an efficient 5 for 7 shooting performance. The junior guard has not been quite as productive over his last six games, and he is currently posting 13.9 points on a 51.7% field goal efficiency.

The Wolverines have collected a win in three out of their last four games with their lone loss in that span coming to Northwestern. They are tough to beat at home, sporting a 6-1 home record in conference play with the lone defeat a one point loss to a ranked Purdue team. Michigan dropped two spots to #22 in this week’s top 25 rankings. They are scoring an average of 74 points per game, ranking them 179th overall. The Wolverines are holding opponents to 63.7 points, good for 13th in the country.

Trends:

The Iowa Hawkeyes are:

  • 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600.
  • 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record.
  • 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games at Michigan.

The Michigan Wolverines are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.
  • 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400.
  • 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games against Big Ten opponents.

I am taking Michigan in this contest. Iowa is playing terrible defense, surrendering an average of 86.7 points in their seven conference road games, and Michigan was able to shoot 49% and go 11 for 25 from three-point territory in their 75-68 road win against Iowa earlier this season. Furthermore, Iowa is only averaging 67.5 points in their last four road games, and they are up against a stifling Wolverines defense that is holding opponents to an average 63.7 points per game.

Pick: Michigan Wolverines

The Hawkeyes defense is struggling in a big way and the Wolverines offense is capable of putting up big points. Iowa has allowed over 80 points in five consecutive games, and they have especially struggled on defense on the road, and the over is 5-1 in their last six games against a team with a winning record. The Wolverines just scored 83 points on the road in Wisconsin in their latest action, and they are a strong shooting team, plus the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams.

Pick: Over

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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