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Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State Prediction,
and Odds - 2-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#865 Northern Kentucky
Norse 141.5
#866 Wright State
Raiders -2

Friday, February 15, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Northern Kentucky Norse

20 - 6


Wright State Raiders

15 - 11


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It’s a Horizon League matchup in the Buckeye State. It’s the Northern Kentucky Norse taking the trip to battle the Wright State Raiders Friday night. Northern Kentucky picked up a 79-64 home win over Oakland in their last game on Sunday afternoon. Wright State rolled past Detroit Mercy, 83-60, at home in their previous contest last Saturday. The teams have split the eight previous meetings with the Norse taking a 68-64 home win in the first matchup this season January 11.

Northern Kentucky Norse Seek Third Straight Win

Northern Kentucky picked up their second straight triumph thanks to a strong second half to sink Oakland at home. The Norse improved to 10-3 in the Horizon League and enter this one holding the top spot by one game over Wright State. Northern Kentucky trailed by four at the half but outscored Oakland 47-28 in the second half to pick up the victory. The Norse shot 47.5 percent from the field, including six of 23 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 43-30. Drew McDonald led the way for Northern Kentucky with 21 points and 13 rebounds in this contest.

The Norse enters this game putting up an average of 79.6 points per game on the season. Northern Kentucky pulls down 37.5 rebounds per game while dishing out 17.3 assists a night. The Norse are 75th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 67.3 points a contest. Drew McDonald leads the team with 19 points and 9.9 rebounds per contest. Tyler Sharpe (14.3 points), Jalen Tate (13.3 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists) and Dantez Walton (11.2 points) are all averaging in double figures. Zaynah Robinson, Trevon Faulkner and Chris Vogt each put up at least four points a night. Northern Kentucky shoots 48.2 percent from the floor on the year as a team. The Norse hits nine threes a night but splashes 36.3 percent of their attempts. Free throw shooting has been a problem as the team converts just 65.4 percent of their chances at the charity stripe.

Wright State Raiders Try to Move Into First-Place Tie

Wright State picked up their third straight win as they rolled over Detroit Mercy at home in their last contest. The Raiders improved to 9-3 in the Horizon League and stand in second place in the conference, one game behind the Norse. Wright State closed the first half on an 8-2 run to lead by eight at the half. The Raiders were up six early in the second half but reeled off a 16-3 run to go up 19 and take full control of the contest. Wright State shot 49.2 percent from the field, including seven of 19 from three-point range, and knocked down 16 of 22 free throw attempts. Loudon Love led the Raiders with 17 points and eight rebounds in the win.

The Raiders put up an average of 73.3 points per game on the year. Wright State grabs 35.1 rebounds per contest and hands out 13.8 assists per game. The Raiders are good defensively, ranking 99th in scoring defense by allowing 68.4 points per contest. Loudon Love leads the team with 15 points and 8.3 rebounds per contest. Billy Wampler contributes 14.4 points per contest while Cole Gentry chips in 12.3 points and 3.3 assists a contest. Mark Hughes, Skyrelar Potter, Alan Vest, Malachi Smith and Parker Ernsthausen each put up 4.5 points a night. Wright State is shooting 43.3 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Raiders knock down eight threes per contest while draining 33.9 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc. Wright State is a solid free throw shooting team as they convert 74.3 percent of their attempts on the year.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

We’re looking a couple of teams that could make trouble in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament should they advance. Wright State has won three straight but facing Northern Kentucky and their solid offensive production is a challenge. Of course, all of Northern Kentucky’s six defeats have come on the road, as they are 5-6 as the visiting team. Wright State is 11-2 at home on the year and that gives them the upper hand here as they win a tight game.

Prediction: Wright State Raiders Pick ‘Em

Full-Game Total Pick

Both teams are decent offensively with Northern Kentucky 41st in the nation while Wright State comes in 165th in that department. Both teams are excellent on the defensive end of the floor this season, which is going to make points a challenge. Wright State is excellent in scoring defense but that’s from forcing turnovers as teams shoot the ball well. The Raiders are 280th in field goal percentage defense (45.6 percent) and 310th in three-point field goal percentage defense (36.7 percent) this season. Can Wright State contain a Northern Kentucky team that is 27th in field goal percentage and 92nd in three-point percentage?

The under is 5-1 in the Norse’s last 6 games following an ATS win. Wright State has seen the under go 7-0 in their last 7 Friday games, 7-1 in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points, 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a straight up win. This one ends up falling just short of the total in a tight contest from opening tip to final buzzer.

Prediction: 140

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.


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