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Hofstra vs. UNCW Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#705 Hofstra
Pride -9.5
#706 UNCW
Seahawks 162

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Hofstra Pride

22 - 4

19-6
ATS
13-12
O/U
83
PPG
70
OPPG

UNCW Seahawks

8 - 19

12-13
ATS
16-10
O/U
76
PPG
81
OPPG

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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

Hofstra takes on UNCW on Saturday in a CAA matchup at 7pmET from Wilmington. Hofstra is 22-4 (12-1 CAA) on the season and has a Net Ranking of 48. They will be the favorite to win the CAA Tournament but have an outside shot of making the NCAA’s as an at-large. UNCW is 8-19 overall and 4-10 in the league. In their first meeting, Hofstra won this game, 87-72 from Long Island.

Who can stop the Pride?

Hofstra has had just one loss since November, falling to Northeastern on Feb. 2 by 14 on the road. Since then, they’ve won three straight, averaging 98 points in that span. On Thursday night, they jumped out to a huge lead against Charleston on the road and held on to win 99-95. Hofstra scored a record 56 points in the second half, but allowed 60, including 43 to Cougars guard Grant Riller. Leading scorer Justin Wright-Foreman had 30 points on 10-of-19 shooting in 40 minutes, while Eli Pemberton added 25 points, seven rebounds and five assists. The Pride shot 53.6 percent from the floor and the blazing 13-of-26 from three-point range. The Cougars shot 50.7 percent from the field and 10-of-25 from the three-point line. The difference was in free throw attempts as the Cougars shot 16 free throws, while the Pride took 30, making 26.

Wright-Foreman leads the CAA and Hofstra with 26.2 points per game, while Desuire Buie leads with 5.2 assists and 2.5 steals. Hofstra leads the CAA in scoring (83.5ppg), in scoring margin (+13.3), free throw percentage (79.6%), field goal percentage (49.3%) and 3-point percentage (38.9%). Defensively, they allow 70.2 points per game on 44.3 percent shooting (33.2% 3pt to lead CAA).

Rough stretch for UNCW

UNCW has a strong history in the CAA but that’s just what it is right now. It’s history. This season, the Seahawks have been awful. They are currently on a six-game losing streak and have lost eight of nine games. In their latest loss, they played well against Northeastern, but fell by four, 81-77 at home to the second-place team in the league. The Seahawks led by 11 at the half, but couldn’t hold on to the lead. The defense allowed 48 points in the second half, outscoring UNCW by 15. The Seahawks were led by Devontae Cacok, who had 19 points, while Kai Toews had 17 points and 10 assists. They shot 49.2 percent from the field and 7-of-18 from three-point range, but they allowed the Huskies to shoot 50 percent from the field and 11-of-28 from beyond the arc (39.3%).

Devontae Cacok leads the Seahawks in points per game with 15.0ppg, in rebounds with 11.8, field goal percentage (60.3%) and steals (1.0). On offense, UNCW is solid, averaging 76.9 points per game on 45 percent shooting (35.4% 3pt). The defense is a different story as they allow 81.5 points per game (345th) on 47.7 percent shooting (341st) and 38.6% from three-point range (344th).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Pride was up big on the road against Charleston, a much better team than UNCW. The bigger issue for the Seahawks is on the defensive end. How will they defend Hofstra? They really can’t, even if they switch defenses. Hofstra plays solid basketball as they do share the ball well, even though Wright-Forman is the main guy. The Seahawks just don’t have enough to compete in this game. Blowout city.

Prediction: Hofstra

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Hofstra could easily go over 100 points in this game unless UNCW tries to slow it down, which is not their game. They are allowing more points at home (84ppg) than overall (81.8ppg).  Hofstra is 7-1 Over their last 8 overall. UNCW is 10-1 Over their last 11 home games.

Prediction: Over

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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