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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#605 North Carolina (UNC)
Tar Heels
#606 Wake Forest
Demon Deacons

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

North Carolina (UNC) Tar Heels

19 - 5

13-9
ATS
11-12
O/U
87
PPG
73
OPPG

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

9 - 14

9-14
ATS
10-13
O/U
68
PPG
74
OPPG

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It’s a matchup of ACC teams looking to pick up a conference victory down on Tobacco Road. The #8 North Carolina Tar Heels are on the road as they make the trip to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday afternoon. North Carolina fell 69-61 at home to #4 Virginia Monday night in their last contest. Wake Forest was drubbed 88-66 on the road by #17 Florida State in their last game Wednesday night. The Tar Heels lead the all-time series 106-49 and have won the last five meetings, including a 73-69 home win in the last matchup on December 30, 2017.

North Carolina Tar Heels Shoot to Get Back in Win Column

North Carolina came up on the short end in a top-10 matchup against Virginia, snapping their seven-game win streak. The Tar Heels fell to 9-2 in the ACC, leaving them tied for second with Virginia, one game behind Duke for the top spot. North Carolina trailed by seven at the half, rallied to lead 55-48 by 7:53 to play and was tied at 59 with 4:04 to play in the game. The Tar Heels were outscored 10-2 the rest of the way to take the loss. North Carolina shot 35.4 percent from the field, including nine of 30 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 41-29 in the defeat. Coby White led the Tar Heels with 19 points in the loss.

The Tar Heels are an excellent offensive team as they put up an average of 87.2 points per contest. North Carolina pulls down 42.7 rebounds a game while dishing out 19.6 assists a night on the year. The Tar Heels are a below average team defensively as they are 244th in the nation allowing 74 points per game. Coby White leads the team with 16 points plus 4.2 assists per game. Cameron Johnson (15.8 points, 5.5 rebounds) and Luke Maye (14.7 points, 9.8 rebounds) are both averaging in double figures. Nassir Little, Kenny Williams, Garrison Brooks and Sterling Manley each average at least 4.4 points a game. North Carolina is shooting 46.9 percent from the floor. The Tar Heels are averaging 8.8 threes per game and shoots 37.5 percent from three-point range. North Carolina is solid at the free throw line, canning 75.2 percent of their attempts on the year.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Trying to Get Upset Win

Wake Forest dropped their sixth game in the last seven outings as they were trounced by Florida State. The Demon Deacons fell to 2-9 in the ACC, leaving them next to last in the conference ahead of only Pitt. Wake Forest was down seven at the half and couldn’t get closer than six in the second half of the contest. The Demon Deacons shot 38.6 percent from the field, including 11 of 25 from three-point range, and were pounded 43-27 on the glass in the contest. Wake Forest also allowed Florida State to shoot 56.5 percent in the game. Chaundee Brown led the Demon Deacons with 20 points in the loss.

The Demon Deacons put up an average of 68.9 points per contest this season. Wake Forest grabs 37.9 rebounds per contest while dishing out 10.7 assists a night. The Demon Deacons are just 254th in the nation as they allow 74.7 points a game. Brandon Childress leads the team with 15.1 points plus 4.1 assists a night. Jaylen Hoard contributes 13.7 points plus 8.3 rebounds per contest while Chaundee Brown chips in 11.3 points per game. Sharone Wright Jr., Isaiah Mucius, Torry Johnson, Olivier Sarr and Ikenna Smart have to be contributors on both ends for Wake Forest in order for the team to have success. The Demon Deacons shoot 40 percent from the field this season as a team. Wake Forest knocks down 6.3 triples a night while shooting 30.5 percent from beyond the arc. The Demon Deacons are average at the free throw line as they hit 72.8 percent of their attempts at the stripe this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Wake Forest has had another tough season this year as Danny Manning continues to try and find talent to contend in the ACC. The Demon Deacons have their work cut out for them here against an explosive Tar Heels offense. North Carolina has had their defensive woes but their offense is one of the most prolific in the nation. Wake Forest can’t keep up with what the Tar Heels bring to the table. North Carolina shakes off their loss to Virginia and puts the boots to the Demon Deacons.

Prediction: North Carolina Tar Heels -16

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This one screams trouble for the Demon Deacons, especially on the defensive end of the floor. Wake Forest has to contend with a North Carolina attack that is second in the nation in scoring offense. In addition, the Tar Heels are 67th in field goal percentage, 45th in three-point percentage, 32nd in free throw percentage and #1 in the nation in rebounding. With Wake Forest struggling offensively (339th in field goal percentage, 327th in three-point percentage) and defensively (295th in field goal percentage defense at 46 percent), can they find a way to hang in this one at all?

The under is 6-1 in the Tar Heels’ last 7 games following a straight up loss, 4-1 in their last 5 road games, 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Wake Forest has seen the under go 6-1 in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points, 6-1 in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Tar Heels get their points but you can’t count on the Demon Deacons for much offensively. This one ends up a few points under the total when all is said and done.

Prediction: Under 156.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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