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Oakland enters this matchup in a three-way tie for fifth place in the Horizon League standings, while the Panthers have won just four of their first 13 league contests to come into this game in second-last place in the Horizon. Can Oakland avoid an upset on the road versus the Panthers on Saturday night?
Golden Grizzlies drop third straight conference contest
Oakland dropped their third straight Horizon League contest on Thursday night, losing on the road to Green Bay 66-54. Brad Brechting scored a team-high 15 points, while Xavier Hill-Mais added 14 points and nine boards in a losing effort for the Golden Grizzlies, who shot just 5-for-27 from deep and turned the ball over a whopping 27 times on the night to fall back to the .500-mark in conference play.
Have a day Brad Brechting! The junior's career high 32 points led #OaklandMBB to a dominating win over Cleveland State, 83-68!
Highlights 🎥🏀⬇️ pic.twitter.com/nNxkqIVcAO
— Golden Grizzlies (@GoldenGrizzlies) February 2, 2019
Greg Kampe’s squad enters the weekend slotted at No. 220 in the latest KenPom rankings after coming crashing back down to earth over the past two-plus weeks. The Golden Grizzlies have scored 106.8 points per 100 possessions for the season (119th in the NCAA) and 104.9 points per 100 possessions during conference play (6th in the Horizon League). Turnovers have held Oakland back on offense this season, as they sport the second-best effective field goal percentage in the conference at 53.3 percent, but the Grizzlies have turned the ball over on a gripping 20.4 percent of their offensive possessions during the Horizon League season (9th in the Horizon League).
On defense, Oakland has given up 111.8 points per 100 possessions (322nd in the NCAA), but they’ve improved on that front during the conference season, limiting opposing teams to just 105.0 points per 100 possessions through their first 14 Horizon League contests (5th in the Horizon League).
Panthers push losing streak to six games
Milwaukee lost their sixth consecutive conference affair on Thursday, losing at home to Detroit 90-84. DeAndre Abram scored 28 points, while Darius Roy added 16 in a losing effort for the Panthers, who continued their slide down the league standings.
DeAndre Abram is ballin' for @MKE_MBB!
— FOX Sports Wisconsin (@fswisconsin) January 18, 2019
Pat Baldwin’s squad comes into this matchup ranked No. 296 in the latest KenPom rankings following their 4-9 start to the Horizon League season. The Panthers have scored 99.0 points per 100 possessions (273rd in the NCAA) for the year and 103.4 points per 100 possessions (8th in the Horizon League) during the conference season. Milwaukee sports an effective field goal percentage of 50.3 percent (8th in the Horizon League) and they have shot just 47.5 percent from inside the arc (9th in the Horizon League) during league play.
On defense, the Panthers have surrendered 109.9 points per 100 possessions (285th in the NCAA) for the year and 110.5 points per 100 possessions during conference play (9th in the Horizon League).
- Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 16-6 in Panthers last 22 Saturday games
- Golden Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
- Under is 6-0 in Golden Grizzlies last 6 games following a straight up loss
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Grizzlies last 5 Saturday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The underdog has covered the spread in just six of their last eight meetings and the road team has covered the spread in each of the last seven matchups in this series. Oakland has shown improvement on the defensive end during league play and they are still searching for their first victory on this long four-game road trip. Take the Grizzlies to cover the number on the road in this spot on Saturday night.
Prediction: Pick: Oakland Grizzlies -1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The Golden Grizzlies have gone under the projected total in 13 of their last 16 games and the under is 37-17 in their last 54 Horizon League matchups. Meanwhile, the Panthers have gone under in 16 of their last 22 Saturday games. Take this Horizon League battle to stay under the projected total on Saturday evening.
Prediction: Under 146