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Oklahoma vs. TCU Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#601 Oklahoma
Sooners 142.5
#602 TCU
Horned Frogs -5

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oklahoma Sooners

15 - 10

16-6
ATS
9-15
O/U
71
PPG
67
OPPG

TCU Horned Frogs

17 - 7

13-11
ATS
13-10
O/U
76
PPG
69
OPPG

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It’s a battle of Big 12 programs on the college hardwood from the Lone Star State. The Oklahoma Sooners make the trip to face the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday afternoon. Oklahoma comes in off a 59-53 road loss to Baylor in their last game Monday night in their last contest. TCU fell 82-77 in overtime at home to #14 Kansas in their last contest Monday night in their previous game. The Sooners have a dominant 16-4 edge in the all-time series and have won the last three matchups, including a 76-74 home win in the first meeting this season on January 12.

Oklahoma Sooners Hoping to Snap Losing Skid

Oklahoma dropped their fifth straight game as their offense couldn’t get things going against Baylor on the road. The Sooners dropped to eighth in the Big 12 with a 3-9 mark, leaving them 6.5 games behind Kansas State for the conference lead. Oklahoma was tied at the half and held a 51-50 advantage with five minutes to play before getting outscored 9-2 the rest of the way. The Sooners shot 38.9 percent from the field, including three of 16 from three-point range, and went just eight of 15 at the charity stripe. Kristian Doolittle led Oklahoma with 14 points in the loss.

The Sooners have been decent offensively in the early going, averaging 71.2 points per game on the year. Oklahoma hauls down 38.9 rebounds per contest while handing out 12.6 assists per game on the season. The Sooners are 77th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 67.5 points per game. Christian James leads Oklahoma with 15.4 points plus seven boards per game this season. Brady Manek puts up 11.6 points plus 6.5 rebounds a night while Aaron Calixte chips in 7.4 points per contest. Jamuni McNeace, Miles Reynolds (7.7 points), Kristian Doolittle, Rashard Odomes, Matt Freeman and Jamal Bieniemy are all looked at to help shoulder the load offensively. Oklahoma shoots 43.9 percent from the floor as a team this year. The Sooners knock down 6.6 three-pointers a game while shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc. Oklahoma has to improve at the line as they are converting just 68.1 percent of their chances on the season.

TCU Horned Frogs Look to Regroup After OT Loss

TCU had won two straight and four of six before getting upended by #14 Kansas in overtime at home. The Horned Frogs fell to 5-6 on the season in the Big 12, leaving them seventh in the conference standings. TCU was tied at the half and rallied to force overtime after trailing by nine with 6:28 to play in regulation. In the extra session, the game was tied at 74 before the Horned Frogs gave up an 8-2 run that put the game away. TCU shot 38 percent from the field, including eight of 26 from three-point range, and missed nine of their 24 free throw attempts. Desmond Bane led the Horned Frogs with 18 points in the loss.

The Horned Frogs are putting up an average of 76.3 points per game this season. TCU is collecting 36.6 rebounds a night while handing out 17 assists per contest. The Horned Frogs are stingy defensively, ranking 125th in the nation by allowing 69.2 points per game. Desmond Bane leads the team with 15.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Kouat Noi (14.8 points, 4.6 rebounds), Alex Robinson (12.9 points, 7.3 assists), Jaylen Fisher (12.1 points) and JD Miller (10.4 points) are all averaging in double figures for Jamie Dixon’s squad. Kevin Samuel, Kendric Davis and Yuat Alok each average at least 3.3 points a night. TCU is shooting 46.5 percent from the floor as a team. The Horned Frogs are knocking down 7.8 triples per game on 35 percent shooting from beyond the arc. TCU has been average at the charity stripe, converting 69.4 percent of their chances this season. Fisher injured his knee and it was announced January 17 that he was done for the season and would transfer from the program.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Oklahoma is slumping, much like they did last season, which doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence for a late-season turnaround. The Sooners have their work cut out for them here, especially on the road as they were dismal against Baylor in their last contest. Oklahoma has a blowout home loss to Baylor and a road loss to West Virginia before falling to Iowa State, Texas Tech and Baylor again. TCU gave Kansas a run before running out of steam late. The Horned Frogs are at home here and that works in their favor. Look for TCU to pick up the victory in this contest.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Oklahoma has seen their offensive production plummet as the season has worn on: they enter this one 227th in the nation in scoring offense. Poor shooting is to blame for that as the team is 212th in field goal percentage, 242nd in three-point percentage and 260th in free throw percentage this season. Things won’t get much easier here as TCU is 99th in field goal percentage defense (42.3 percent) and 25th in three-point percentage defense (30.2 percent) this season. Can Oklahoma’s defense do enough to contain the Horned Frogs and get them a road win?

The over is 5-0 in the Horned Frogs’ last 5 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Big 12 opponents and 15-4 in their last 19 Saturday games. Given the way Oklahoma has struggled of late, you have to think that TCU will push the Sooners to wear them down. That leads to some easy buckets and pushes this one over the total.

Prediction: Over 143

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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