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Penn State vs. Purdue Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#673 Penn State
Nittany Lions 139
#674 Purdue
Boilermakers -12.5

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Penn State Nittany Lions

9 - 15

10-14
ATS
9-15
O/U
68
PPG
68
OPPG

Purdue Boilermakers

17 - 7

14-10
ATS
12-12
O/U
77
PPG
68
OPPG

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The #12 Purdue Boilermakers will host the Penn State Nittany Lions in a Big Ten clash Saturday afternoon from the Mackey Arena. The Nittany Lions tallied a big 75-69 upset home win against Michigan on Tuesday night, and the Boilermakers are coming off a 70-56 road loss to Maryland. Purdue posted a 99-90 overtime road win against Penn State on January 31st.

Penn State Stuns #6 Michigan

The Penn State Nittany Lions enter this one with confidence after recording a 75-69 upset home win over #6 Michigan on Tuesday night. Despite the win, Penn State is in last place in the Big Ten with a 2-11 conference record. The Nittany Lions converted on 46% of their field goals against Michigan, while Michigan was able to sink 51% of their shots. Penn State’s leading scorer Lamar Stevens was outstanding, netting 26 points along with 12 rebounds. The junior forward is locked in, registering two straight double-doubles, and he is averaging 19.2 PPG and 8 RPG on the season.

Josh Reaves only scored nine points in Tuesday’s big win, although he collected 20 points in his prior effort. The senior guard leads Penn State with 3.2 assists per game, and he is third in team scoring with 10.1 PPG on 42% shooting.

Penn State is currently pegged at 59th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they will not make the NCAA Tournament unless they pull off a miracle in the Big Ten tourney.  They are playing better recently, winning two out of their last three games. The Nittany Lions hold a 1-7 road record, and they are only averaging 68.4 points on the season, ranking them down at 287th overall. Penn State is allowing an average of 68.9 points, positioning them at 114th in the country.

#12 Boilermakers’ Eight Game Winning Streak Halted

The #12 Purdue Boilermakers had an eight-game winning streak halted in a rough 70-56 road loss to #24 Maryland on Tuesday night. It was a costly loss as the Boilermakers now stand 0.5 games back of Michigan State for first place in the Big Ten with a 10-3 record. Purdue shot an abysmal 28% in the defeat, while Maryland was able to register a 50% clip. Boilermakers’ top scorer Carsen Edwards finished with 24 points, however, it was on an 8 for 27 shooting performance. The junior guard is one of the best players in the entire Big Ten, and he is up to an average of 24.6 PPG on 41% shooting.

Ryan Cline has netted 11 or fewer points in three consecutive games which included 9 points in Tuesday’s defeat. The senior guard is a big threat from three-point range where he is shooting a sizzling 44% on the season, and he is second in team scoring with 12.6 PPG.

Purdue stands at a perfect 12-0 on their home court, and they hold a 4-5 record against ranked opponents. The Boilermakers are pegged as a #3 seed in ESPN’s latest version of Bracketology. Purdue is scoring an average of 77.8 points on the season, ranking them 66th overall. The Boilermakers are playing excellent defense in conference play, and they are holding opponents to 68.5 points, placing them 101st in the country.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the points with Penn State in this contest. Penn State is riding a wave of momentum after recording a big 75-69 win over #6 Michigan in their previous game, and they have won two out of their last three games. Also, the Nittany Lions have only allowed an average of 65 points in their last three games which included a narrow 74-70 road loss to Ohio State in that span.

Furthermore, Purdue needed overtime to defeat Penn State in the first meeting late last month. Also, Penn State’s rebounding has been a strength, and they out-rebounded Purdue 41-32 in last month’s meeting.

Prediction: Penn State

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I am opting with the over in this contest. These two combatants played to a high-scoring 99-90 decision in the first meeting this season that went well above the total before overtime started. Penn State just scored 75 points against Michigan, so I am confident they can have a productive night, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

In addition, Purdue was able to sink 55% of their field goals against Penn State last month, plus the over is 6-0 in their last six games following an ATS loss.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

I am confident Penn State can crack Purdue’s defense. The Nittany Lions are averaging 73.5 points in their last four games. Also, they were able to register 85 points before overtime against Purdue last month, and they drilled 12 three-pointers in that one. Purdue will give up three’s as their three-point defense stands down at 291st in the country.

Prediction: Penn State Team Total: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am staying with Penn State on the halftime line. Purdue is only averaging 32.7 points in the first half over their last three games. Also, Penn State is playing well defensively in the first half, allowing an average of only 30.3 points in their last thee games, and they limited Michigan to 27 points in the first half on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Penn State

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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