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Utah State vs. Air Force Prediction,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#671 Utah State
Aggies -10
#672 Air Force
Falcons 137

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Utah State Aggies

19 - 6


Air Force Falcons

10 - 14


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The Utah State Aggies will head on the road to battle the Air Force Falcons in MWC action Saturday afternoon from the Clune Arena. The Aggies tallied a 76-59 home win over Wyoming on Wednesday night, and the Falcons dropped a 77-72 road decision to UNLV in their previous tilt. Utah State registered a 79-62 home win against Air Force on January 5th.

Utah State Bounces Back with Easy Win

The Utah State Aggies rebounded from their loss to San Diego State with a decisive 76-59 home win over Wyoming on Wednesday night. The Aggies feature a 9-3 MWC record, placing them only 1.5 games behind first place Nevada. Utah State was able to sink 49% of their field goals against Wyoming, while limiting them to a 42% efficiency. Aggies’ top scorer Sam Merrill led the way offensively with a 19 point effort on 5 for 12 shooting in the victory. The junior guard is consistently producing, scoring at least 20 points in four out of his last five games, and he is averaging 20 PPG on 48% shooting on the season.

Neemias Queta has been a force in conference play where he has collected five double-doubles in his last seven games. The freshman center features a remarkable 61% field goal efficiency, and he is sporting an average of 11 PPG.

Utah State is currently positioned at 42nd in the nation in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they feature a solid 6-4 road record. The Aggies can burn opponents with both their offense and defense. Utah State is ‘on the bubble’ regarding their chances to the NCAA Tournament in ESPN’s Bracketolgy. They are currently averaging 79 points, good for 49th in the country. Utah State is holding opponents to 66.3 points, positioning them 49th overall.

Air Force Competitive in Loss to UNLV

The Air Force Falcons head into this challenging matchup on a losing note after falling 77-72 to UNLV in their previous action on Tuesday night. The Falcons have been inconsistent in MWC play, and they stand in 7th place with a 5-7 conference record. Air Force shot a stellar 50% in the loss to UNLV, while allowing UNLV to also shoot 50%. Falcons’ top scorer Lavelle Scottie resumed his hot play with 25 points on a 12 for 18 shooting performance in the defeat. The junior forward has accumulated a combined 59 points in his last two games, and he is up to 15.1 PPG and 5.2 RPG on the season.

Ryan Swan is also playing well, racking up a combined 24 rebounds in his last two games which included 16 boards and 17 points in Tuesday’s loss. The junior forward stands second in team scoring with 12.1 PPG and 7.1 RPG.

Air Force is currently placed at 254th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they hold a strong 8-4 record on their home court. The Falcons have heated up offensively in their last two games, although they are only averaging 67.6 points on the season, ranking them down at 302nd overall. Air Force is conceding an average of 71.5 points, placing them 188th in the nation.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I am siding with Air Force in this one. Air Force is very competitive on their home court where they have won four out of their last five games overall. They have recorded conference wins against San Diego State, UNLV, and Boise State this season, and they were the underdog in all three games.

Furthermore, Utah State has failed to cover in three straight games, and Air Force was able to sink 10 three-pointers against the Aggies in the first meeting this season. Utah State will give up three’s as their three-point defense stands down at 225th in the country.

Prediction: Air Force

Full-Game Total Pick

I am opting with the over in this matchup. Air Force has averaged 76.5 points in their last two games, and they are shooting a decent 45.9% as a team. Also, the over is 4-1 in their last five home games against Utah State.

In addition, Utah State should have no problem in the offensive end. They scored 79 points against Air Force in the first meeting, and they have averaged 81.2 points in their last five games overall. The over has cashed in 8 out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams, and I expect another high-scoring clash.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

I am taking the over on the Air Force team total. Air Force is in a groove offensively, shooting at least 50% in two straight games against Wyoming and UNLV. Also, Falcons’ top scorer Lavelle Scottie is red-hot, netting a combined 59 points in his last two games.

Prediction: Air Force Team Total: Over

Half-Time Total Bet

I am taking the over on the halftime total as well. Utah State stands 11th in the country with an average of 39.5 points in the first half this season. Also, Air Force is averaging a solid 36.3 points in the first half in their last three games, and they tallied 40 points in the first half in their previous action.

Prediction: Over

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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