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VCU vs. Dayton Prediction,
and Odds - 2-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#669 VCU
Rams 131
#670 Dayton
Flyers -2.5

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

VCU Rams

18 - 6


Dayton Flyers

16 - 8


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The Dayton Flyers will host the VCU Rams in an A10 showdown Saturday afternoon from the University of Dayton Arena. The Rams cruised to an 81-60 home win over Richmond on Wednesday night, and the Flyers crushed Rhode Island 77-48 in their previous action. VCU tallied a 76-71 road win against Dayton in the first meeting this season.

VCU Targets Sixth Consecutive Victory

The red-hot VCU Rams have won five consecutive games to catapult to 9-2 in conference play, placing them in a first place tie with Davidson in the conference standings. VCU continued their stifling defensive play in a convincing 81-60 home win over Richmond on Wednesday night. The Rams were able to register a 57% clip from the field, while limiting Richmond to a 46% mark. VCU’s top scorer Marcus Evans was sharp, recording 16 points on a 5 for 7 mark from the field. The junior guard has scored 12 or fewer points in three out of his last four games, and he is posting 13.5 PPG on the season.

De’Riante Jenkins has cooled off from an offensive standpoint  as he has only reached double-digits in points in three out of his last four games. The junior guard is 2 for 10 from three-point range in his last two games, and he is currently averaging 11.3 PPG.

The Rams have moved up to 46th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they own a 5-4 road record. VCU is projected as a #11 seed in ESPN’s Bracketology. They are in a groove offensively, and they are currently averaging 70.8 points on the season, placing them 235th overall. The Rams defense is the best in the A10 conference, and they are now limiting opponents to an average of 62.5 points, good for 14th in the country.

Dayton Rebounds with Dominating Road Win

The Dayton Flyers bounced back from a loss to Saint Louis with a dominating 77-48 road win over Rhode Island in their previous action last Saturday. The Flyers now stand at 8-3 in A10 play, only one game back of first place Davidson. Dayton resumed their strong shooting with a dazzling 63% clip from the field against Rhode Island, while holding them to 29% shooting. Jalen Crutcher was terrific in the winning effort, collecting 20 points on a 7 for 12 mark from the field. The sophomore guard leads the Flyers with 5.7 assists per game, and he has increased his season average to 13.3 PPG.

Flyers’ top scorer Josh Cunningham contributed with 13 points on 6 for 8 shooting in the Flyers’ latest win. The senior forward has cooled off recently, although overall he is having a strong year, sporting an average of 14.1 PPG and 7 RPG.

The Flyers are currently ranked at 65th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they feature a 11-2 home record. Dayton is not currently ranked in ESPN’s Bracketology for the NCAA Tournament. The Flyers are currently averaging 74 points, ranking them 147th overall. Dayton continues to play strong defense, and they are holding opponents to 67.1 points, placing them 69th in the country.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This is an intriguing matchup between two teams playing at a high level. I am taking Dayton in this contest. The Flyers will be aiming for retribution after falling at VCU in the first meeting this season. While Dayton lost, they were able to shoot a terrific 47% against a stifling Rams defense. The Flyers feature a dazzling 50.3% team field goal percentage, and I expect them to solve the Rams defense in this one.

Furthermore, Dayton is also playing well in the defensive end, allowing an average of only 60.2 points in their last five games overall, and they stand at 11-2 on their home court.

Prediction: Dayton Flyers

Full-Game Total Pick

I expect a low-scoring conference battle between two strong defensive teams in this one. Dayton is only averaging 68.3 points in their last three games, and the under is  5-1 in their last 6 conference games.

In addition, the Rams have held their opposition to 64 or fewer points in four straight games, and they are limiting opponents to 37.9% shooting on the season, plus the under is 15-7 in the Rams’ last 22 games following a straight up win.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

The under on the VCU team total is a strong play. VCU has not fared well against strong defensive opponents on the road this season. They only scored 57 points at Dayton, and 65 points at Rhode Island. In addition, the Flyers have held their opponents to 67 or fewer points in three straight home games.

Prediction: VCU Team Total: Under

Half-Time Side Pick

I am taking the points with VCU on the halftime line. VCU is averaging a stellar 40 points in the first half in their last three games, while Dayton has only averaged 30.3 points in their last three. In addition, the Flyers are more productive in the second half where they are averaging 37.8 points on the season.

Prediction: VCU Rams

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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