Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#855 NC State -4.5 vs.
#856 Boston College 141
Sunday, February 16, 2020 at 6:00pm EST
Written by Sporty Jordy

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When and where: February 16, 2020, Silvio Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, MA, 6:00 PM ET

The Boston College Eagles will have their hands full on Sunday with the North Carolina State Wolfpack coming to town for a visit. After getting blown out by Louisville, the Wolfpack finally brought an end to a three-game losing streak by knocking off Miami and Syracuse in consecutive outings. The Eagles, on the other hand, fell in an ugly 85-58 loss on the road against Miami. It marked the team’s third loss in five games.

Calm before the storm for the NC State

NC State doesn’t need a meteorologist to inform them a storm is coming. After dropping three consecutive losses, they were able to climb back on their feet thanks to a much-needed break in their schedule against opponents like Miami and Syracuse.

Even Sunday’s game against Boston College is another projected favorable outcome for the Wolfpack.

But that all changes next week with back-to-back games against Duke and Florida State. Grab your umbrellas, Wolfpack fans. It’s going to be a long week.

Of course, that week could feel even longer if the team drops a dud of a performance against the Eagles. NC State is already in danger of missing the big dance in March’s NCAA Tournament. Failing to stop an Eagles team with the 323rd-ranked offense in the country would be crushing. They also have a tendency to be turnover-prone, which should open up opportunities for NC State to make plays consistently on defense.

The Wolfpack have to feel good about their chances on the road considering they are averaging a better shooting percentage away from their home building (44.9). A daunting task lies ahead of Boston College with a streaking C.J. Bryce averaging 18.6 points per game for NC State. They don’t have the defensive bodies to stop him.

Boston College defense gets deflated

It was no surprise to see the Eagles throwing up enough bricks to build a house on offense. Their sad shooting situation has remained consistent all season, and they have typically relied on their sub-par defense to keep games within reach.

Neither was an option in Wednesday’s loss to the Hurricanes.

Boston College got decimated in an 85-58 loss in a game where Miami shot 57.7 percent from the floor. Things sunk to the point where they couldn’t even consistently hit their free throws. An NCAA Tournament berth is a pipe dream at this point.

They’ll try to steal a win from NC State in Sunday’s meeting between the ACC rivals. Opposing teams are only averaging 69.0 points per game against the Eagles this season. Yet, they may have to show an even stouter defensive presence to keep the Wolfpack in check.

The real question for Boston College—as it is every game—remains on the offensive side of the floor. Can they generate enough offense to put themselves in a position to compete? Derryck Thornton’s accuracy has been limited as a shooter, despite being the team’s leading scorer. They’ll need guys like Jay Heath and Nik Popovic to step up and make some noise on offense.

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The Wolfpack are finding their stride ahead of a game that should serve more as hors d’oeuvres before their main meal against Duke next week. Boston College can’t be trusted offensively at the Silvio Conte Forum or the Wal-Mart parking lot. The team is averaging 39.1 percent shooting in their last three outings.

NC State has actually played better defensively on the road than they have at home this season. They’ll force the Eagles into another ugly shooting night and give themselves a chance to do the rest on offense.

Despite clear weaknesses on both ends of the floor, the Wolfpack haven’t been a team that typically beats themselves. Boston College is going to have to take this one from them, which isn’t something I’d bank on with one team clearly being more desperate than the other. I’m laying the points and taking NC State.

Prediction: NC State Wolfpack (-4.5)

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The Wolfpack won’t make nearly as big of an offensive splash with Sunday’s game being on the road against an Eagles team that has typically played well on defense at home. They are holding opposing teams to an average 66.0 points per game.

Don’t count on NC State getting shut down completely, but the Eagles are feisty enough to give them some problems on the scoring end. While NC State hasn’t been as consistent defensively, Boston College doesn’t boast the offensive efficiency to take advantage of those weaknesses. Bring out the mortar. More bricks are coming. I’m taking the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under (142)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.