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Cal State Northridge vs. Cal State Fullerton,
2-17-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#639 Cal State Northridge
Matadors 138
#640 Cal State Fullerton
Titans -12

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cal State Northridge Matadors

6 - 20

9-13
ATS
7-16
O/U
64
PPG
70
OPPG

Cal State Fullerton Titans

14 - 9

12-7
ATS
5-14
O/U
72
PPG
71
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Cal State Northridge Matadors will head on the road to Titan Gym on Saturday afternoon for a Big West Conference showdown against the Cal State Fullerton Titans.

The Titans come in with a 7-5 record in conference play after winning three of their last four Big West contests, meanwhile, the Matadors enter Saturday’s matchup having lost six of their last seven conference games to come in with a 3-9 record in league play this year.

Matadors struggling to generate consistent offense

The Matadors lost at home to UC Riverside on Wednesday 69-62 to drop to 6-20 on the season. Reggie Theus led the Matadors in scoring with 19 points, while Tavrion Dawson scored 17 to help pace Cal State Northridge on offense, but it wasn’t enough to hold off a strong second half surge. Cal State Northridge led by as many as nine points midway through the second half, but shot just 5-for-17 from three-point range and turned the ball over 14 times in the loss.

Cal State Northridge enters the weekend ranked among the worst offensive teams in the entire nation. The Matadors are scoring just 95.4 points per 100 possessions for the season (327th in the NCAA), while sporting an effective field goal percentage of just 46.7 percent (322nd in the NCAA). They’ve been even worse on offense during conference play too, scoring just 93.0 points per 100 possessions (8th in the Big West) with an effective field goal percentage of 46.1 percent (8th in the Big West) this year.

Reggie Theus’ squad has allowed 103.5 points per 100 possessions on the defensive end (7th in the Big West), despite limiting their opponents to just 30.1 percent shooting from beyond the three-point arc (2nd in the Big West).

Titans improve to 7-5 in league play

Cal State Fullerton won for the third time in four games on Saturday, defeating UC Davis 68-66 to earn their fourth road win of the conference season. Khalil Ahmad put the Titans on his back, scoring a game-high 31 points on 11 of 15 shooting, while Kyle Allman scored 21 to help the Titans improve to 7-5 in conference play.

The Titans enter the weekend scoring 104.1 points per 100 possessions during conference play (4th in the Big West), while allowing 102.9 points per 100 possessions on the defensive end of the floor (6th in the Big West). Turnovers have held the Titans back on offense this season. Dedrique Taylor’s squad has turned the ball over on 20.7 percent of their offensive possessions during league play (7th in the Big West), but the team owns the conference’s top effective field goal percentage at 54.2 percent.

Cal State Fullerton has shot 52.8 percent from inside the arc (1st in the Big West) and 38.3 percent from the three-point line during conference play this year (1st in the Big West).

Trends

Cal State Northridge

  • Matadors are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up loss.
  • Matadors are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.

Cal State Fullerton

  • Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Titans are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.

The Titans have been one of the top shooting teams in the Big West Conference this season and the Matadors have not been very competitive in road games this year. They’ve lost by more than 20 points in two of their last three road contests and could suffer a similar fate here. Take the Titans to cover the spread at home in this Big West battle on Saturday.

Pick: Cal State Fullerton Titans

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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