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Fordham vs. Dayton,
2-17-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#605 Fordham
Rams 134
#606 Dayton
Flyers -13

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Fordham Rams

9 - 16

6-15
ATS
9-11
O/U
62
PPG
68
OPPG

Dayton Flyers

11 - 14

9-16
ATS
15-10
O/U
73
PPG
73
OPPG

Betting Trends

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It’s a battle of struggling Atlantic 10 opponents on the hardwood in the Buckeye State. The Fordham Rams take their game on the road as they travel to face the Dayton Flyers Saturday night. Fordham had their two game win streak snapped with a 71-55 home loss to Saint Joseph’s Wednesday night. Dayton dropped their second straight with an 85-67 road loss at George Mason Wednesday night. The Flyers have owned the all-time series by a 29-5 margin and have 13 straight wins in the series, including a 75-66 road win in the last matchup on January 31, 2017.

Fordham Rams Looking for Rare Road Victory

Fordham had won two straight, including a whipping of Duquesne on the road, but couldn’t generate that kind of offensive production at home against Saint Joseph’s. The Rams fell to 9-16 overall, 4-9 in the Atlantic 10 and just 1-9 on the road: they’re part of the four-way tie in the basement of the conference. Fordham trailed 37-19 at the half and couldn’t get closer than 10 the rest of the way as they went down to defeat. The Rams shot 43.1 percent from the field and were a dismal eight of 31 from beyond the arc while losing the rebounding battle 36-24. Cavit Havsa had 12 points and eight assists to lead Fordham in the loss.

The Rams are abysmal on the offensive end of the floor as they are 347th in scoring offense with an average of 62.5 points per game. Fordham is 346th in rebounding with 29.5 boards a night and 178th in assists by dishing out 13.7 per contest. The Rams are very good on the defensive end as they come in 82nd in the nation by allowing 68.7 points a night. Will Tavares leads the team with 14 points and 5.6 rebounds per contest. Prokop Slanina chips in 11.9 points plus 5.4 boards while Joseph Chartouny (11.1 points, 5.4 rebounds) is also scoring in double figures. Ivan Raut, Perris Hicks, Tre Evans and David Pekarek each contribute at least five points a night for the Rams. Fordham shoots 41.5 percent from the field as a team this season. The Rams sink 7.4 triples a night while shooting a miserable 29.6 percent from beyond the arc. Fordham is below average at the free throw line as they convert only 69.9 percent of their attempts.

Dayton Flyers Trying to Pick Up Wins

Dayton has had a tough time in their first season since former coach Archie Miller took the job at Indiana. The Flyers lost for the sixth time in their last eight games as they were dumped by George Mason to fall to 11-14 overall and 5-8 in the Atlantic 10. Dayton was tied with 3:30 to play in the first half but gave up an 11-2 run and never was closer than seven again. The Flyers shot 38.2 percent from the field and hit only seven of 26 three point attempts while taking a 39-26 beating on the glass. Darrell Davis had 19 points and six boards in the loss to lead Dayton.

The Flyers are slightly below average offensively as they are 191st in the nation in scoring offense with 73.7 points per game. Dayton is just 334th in the nation on the glass with 31.6 rebounds per game and stand 39th with 16.2 assists per contest. The Flyers have been below average on the defensive end of the floor as they enter this contest ranked 229th in the nation by allowing 74 points per game. Dayton shoots 48.1 percent from the field as a team on the year. The Flyers knock down an average of 8.5 three pointers per game while shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc. Dayton has been solid at the free throw line as they convert 74.1 percent of their chances this season as a team. Darrell Davis is second on the Flyers with 16.4 points plus three assists a night. Josh Cunningham is the only other player for the Flyers scoring in double figures by putting up a team high 16.6 points and 8.6 rebounds per contest. Trey Landers, Jalen Crutcher, Jordan Davis, Xeyrius Williams, John Crosby and Kostas Antetokounmpo all put up at least 4.3 points a game for Dayton this season.

Trends:

Fordham

  • Rams are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

Dayton

  • Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

Both teams have had their issues this season and that’s a major reason they’re battling to stay out of the basement at all costs in the Atlantic 10. Fordham has had all kinds of problems on the road this season and this is another trip away from home for them. Dayton is pretty good at home, going 9-4 this year, and that should be enough to give them the upper hand, especially with Fordham being a bit banged up at the moment. The Rams are weak offensively and that helps the Flyers soar to a home win.

Pick: Dayton Flyers -14

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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