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Oklahoma State vs. TCU,
2-17-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#619 Oklahoma State
Cowboys 155.5
#620 TCU
Horned Frogs -7

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 8:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oklahoma State Cowboys

15 - 11

10-13
ATS
8-15
O/U
77
PPG
73
OPPG

TCU Horned Frogs

17 - 9

12-12
ATS
16-8
O/U
84
PPG
76
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAB

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A pair of teams from the Big 12 take the floor down in the Lone Star State. The Oklahoma State Cowboys take the short trip south to battle the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday night. Oklahoma State couldn’t build off their upset win at West Virginia as they lost 82-72 at home to Kansas State Wednesday night. TCU fell for the third time in four games as they were defeated 82-66 on the road by #20 West Virginia Wednesday night. The Cowboys have a 16-4 advantage in the all-time series but it was the Horned Frogs taking a 79-66 win on the road in the first matchup this season on January 30.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Slumping at Wrong Time

Oklahoma State is slumping at the wrong time of the season: their loss to Kansas State was their fifth defeat in seven games. The Cowboys dropped to 15-11 overall and 5-8 in the Big 12 after the defeat to the Wildcats. Oklahoma State trailed by two with 6:12 to play in the opening half but a 19-4 run over that span by Kansas State left them down 17: they never challenged seriously the rest of the way. The Cowboys shot 41.5 percent from the field and went six of 20 from three point range in the contest to negate a 39-28 rebounding edge. Kendall Smith had 16 points and seven rebounds to lead the way for Oklahoma State in a losing effort.

The Cowboys enter this contest 87th in the nation in scoring offense as they score 77.2 points a game. Oklahoma State is 104th in rebounding with 36.9 boards a night and 130th with 14.4 assists per contest. The Cowboys are average defensively as they are tied for 212th in scoring defense allowing 73.4 points a night. Oklahoma State shoots 44.1 percent from the floor as a team. The Cowboys are struggling shooting from the perimeter as they shoot 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and sink 7.9 three point field goals a night. The Cowboys are good at the free throw line as they knock down 75.9 percent of their chances this season. Jeffrey Carroll puts up 15.3 points and 5.9 rebounds a game to lead the team. Tavarius Shine (11 points) and Kendall Smith (12.1 points, 2.9 assists) are each scoring in double figures for Oklahoma State. Mitchell Solomon, Lindy Waters III, Thomas Dziagwa, Brandon Averette and Cameron McGriff each put up at least 5.8 points a game for the Cowboys this season.

TCU Horned Frogs Seek Season Sweep of Oklahoma State

TCU hit the skids a bit of late as well with eight losses in their last 12 games after starting the season 13-1. The Horned Frogs dropped to 17-9 overall and 5-8 in the Big 12 with the loss in Morgantown. TCU trailed by 10 at the half and couldn’t climb their way back: they got no closer than five on a couple of occasions. The Horned Frogs shot 42.9 percent from the field, including six of 17 from beyond the arc, and hit only 12 of 19 free throws. TCU was beaten 38-29 on the glass while allowing West Virginia to shoot 50.8 percent from the floor. Desmond Bane led the Horned Frogs with 16 points in the loss.

The Horned Frogs are tied for 16th in scoring offense as they pile up 84.2 points per game this season. TCU is tied for 108th in rebounding with 36.7 boards per contest and 2nd in the nation by dishing out 19.5 assists per game. The Horned Frogs are struggling defensively as they rank 289th in scoring defense as they allow 77 points per contest. TCU is shooting an even 50 percent from the floor as a team. The Horned Frogs are knocking down 8.9 triples per game on 41.3 percent shooting from beyond the arc. TCU has been average at the charity stripe, converting 70.9 percent of their chances this season. Vladimir Brodziansky leads the team with 15.6 points plus five boards per game. Kenrich Williams chips in 13.5 points, 9.4 rebounds plus 4.2 assists a night, Jaylen Fisher chips in 12.3 points plus 5.4 dimes a contest, while Desmond Bane (12.2 points) and Kouat Noi (10.3 points) are each scoring in double figures as well. Fisher is done for the year after undergoing surgery for a torn meniscus in his knee January 18. JD Miller (8.8 points, 4.3 boards), Alex Robinson and Ahmed Hamdy-Mohamed each score at least six points a game for the Horned Frogs.

Trends:

Oklahoma State

  • No Key Trends

TCU

  • Horned Frogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss
  • Horned Frogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss
  • Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

Oklahoma State has struggled of late and the Cowboys are slipping below the line for a potential March Madness bid. The Cowboys have to get things turned around if they hope to stay in the conversation. TCU likely has played itself out of the tournament with their struggles down the stretch, not to mention the injury to Fisher. The Horned Frogs are at home here and they already own a win in Stillwater this season. TCU should get the sweep of the season series here as they defeat Oklahoma State again.

Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -7

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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