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UAB vs. Southern Miss,
2-17-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#571 UAB
Blazers -4
#572 Southern Miss
Golden Eagles 142

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 5:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UAB Blazers

16 - 11

9-12
ATS
7-13
O/U
75
PPG
67
OPPG

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

13 - 14

12-10
ATS
14-8
O/U
72
PPG
71
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The UAB Blazers will head on the road on Saturday afternoon for an Atlantic 10 matchup against the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles.

The Blazers have stumbled down the stretch in league play. UAB has lost six of their last nine conference games after starting the conference season with a 4-1 record.

Blazers do their damage from inside the arc

UAB lost to L.A. Tech on the road 73-60 on Thursday to fall to 7-7 in conference play. Zack Bryant led the team in scoring with 16 points, while Nick Darling finished with 14 to help pace the Blazers on offense. UAB shot just 7-for-22 from three-point range and turned the ball over 17 times en route to their third loss in their last four games.

The Blazers enter the weekend scoring 101.8 points per 100 possessions during conference play (8th in the A10), while turning the ball over on 19.3  percent of their offensive possessions (12th in the A10).

UAB does most of its damage from inside the arc on offense. The Blazers have taken just 32.7 percent of their total field goal attempts from three-point range (11th in the A-10) and made only 31.0 percent of their three-pointers during conference play (13th in the A-10). In fact, 61.1 percent of their total points during the A10 season have come from inside the arc (1st in the A10).

Defensively, the Blazers are allowing just 98.4 points per 100 possessions during conference play (3rd in the A10). Opposing teams own an offensive rebounding rate of 23.5 percent (3rd in the A10) and a free throw rate of 25.8 percent (2nd in the A10) against the Blazers’ defense during league play this year.

Golden Eagles taking care of the basketball on offense

The Golden Eagles fell at home to Middle Tennessee on Thursday 72-62, despite a strong all-around game from Cortez Edwards. Edwards finished with 15 points, six rebounds, and five dimes on the night, while Dominic Magee chipped in 12 points as the only other player to finish in double-figures for Southern Miss.

Doc Sadler’s squad is one of the best teams in the country at taking care of the basketball. For the season, the Golden Eagles have turned the ball over on 14.3 percent of their offensive possessions (3rd in the NCAA). That number is down to 14.0 percent during conference play (1st in the A10), which has helped the Golden Eagles score 106.9 points per 100 possessions on the offensive end (3rd in the A10).

Southern Miss has connected on 52.1 percent of their two-point attempts (3rd in the A10), 35.9 percent of their three-pointers (6th in the A10), and 72.7 percent of their free throw attempts as a team during league play (3rd in the A10).

Trends

UAB

  • Blazers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Southern Miss

  • Golden Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Golden Eagles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Golden Eagles’ only two home losses during league play came against ODU and Middle Tennessee – two of the top teams in the conference. UAB struggles with turnovers on offense, which means that the Golden Eagles should be able to win the turnover battle in this game. Their offense has been fairly efficient at home too, which has me leaning towards Southern Miss covering the spread in this A10 matchup on Saturday afternoon.

Pick: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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