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UMass vs. Davidson,
2-17-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#603 UMass
Minutemen
#604 Davidson
Wildcats

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UMass Minutemen

11 - 15

11-12
ATS
13-10
O/U
71
PPG
73
OPPG

Davidson Wildcats

14 - 10

13-9
ATS
8-14
O/U
75
PPG
66
OPPG

Betting Trends

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It’s a matchup of Atlantic 10 foes down in the Tar Heel State. The Massachusetts Minutemen make the trek down the east coast as they are on the road as they battle the Davidson Wildcats Saturday night. Massachusetts dropped their second straight with an 83-72 home loss to George Washington Wednesday night. Davidson bounced back from a loss to Rhode Island by dumping VCU 74-63 on the road Wednesday night. The Wildcats lead the all-time series 7-4 and have won the last three meetings, including a 79-74 road win in the last matchup on February 18, 2017.

Massachusetts Minutemen Sputtering Down the Stretch

Massachusetts has slumped down the stretch as their defeat to George Washington marked their seventh in their last eight games. The Minutemen dropped to 11-15 overall and 4-9 in the Atlantic 10, leaving them as part of a four-way tie for the basement. Massachusetts was down 18 at the half and trailed by as many as 23 in the second as they went down in defeat. The Minutemen shot only 39.3 percent from the field and went eight of 21 from beyond the arc while getting hammered 43-28 on the glass. C.J. Anderson led Massachusetts with 21 points and 11 rebounds in the loss.

The Minutemen are 251st in the nation in scoring offense with 71.1 points per game. Massachusetts is 288th in rebounding with 33.4 boards a night while standing tied for 69th with 15.5 assists per game. The Minutemen are 215th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 73.5 points per game. Luwane Pipkins is one of two players averaging in double figures for Massachusetts as he puts up 20.5 points plus 3.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. Rashaan Holloway (9.9 points), C.J. Anderson (9.3 points), Carl Pierre (12.2 points) and Malik Hines (eight points) are all decent secondary scoring options. Rayshawn Miller, Unique McLean and Chris Baldwin all average at least 4.7 points per contest. Massachusetts shoots 44.6 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Minutemen knock down 8.6 three pointers a night on 39 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Massachusetts has been good at the line, converting 74.7 percent of their chances at the stripe.

Davidson Wildcats Battling for Seeding in A-10 Tournament

Davidson won for the fourth time in five games as they took down VCU on the road in their last contest.  The Wildcats improved to 14-10 overall and 9-4 in the Atlantic 10: they entered Friday tied for second in the conference with St. Bonaventure as they battle for seeding in the Atlantic 10 Tournament next month. Davidson led by four at the half before opening up some breathing room in the second half to take control of the game. The Wildcats shot 46.3 percent from the field and hit 10 of 26 three point attempts in the game. Peyton Aldridge led Davidson with 23 points and 11 rebounds in the win.

The Wildcats are 120th in the nation as they put up an average of 75.9 points per game. Davidson is 311th in rebounding with 32.6 per contest and 14th in assists by handing out 17.3 dimes a game. The Wildcats are well above average defensively as they enter this contest 50th in the country allowing 67 points per game. Davidson shoots 47.8 percent from the floor on the year. The Wildcats knock down 11 three pointers per game while hitting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc. Davidson has been solid at the free throw line as they sink 78.5 percent of their chances at the line this season. Peyton Aldridge is leading the team with 20.1 points plus seven rebounds a game. Jon Axel Gudmundsson (14.2 points, six boards, five assists) and Kellan Grady (16.4 points) are scoring in double figures for the Wildcats as well. Oskar Michelsen, Rusty Reigel, KiShawn Pritchett and Will Magarity are the next guys in line for Davidson.

Trends:

Massachusetts

  • Minutemen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • Minutemen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • Minutemen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games

Davidson

  • Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win
  • Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
  • Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win

This is a classic matchup of two teams heading in opposite directions. Massachusetts has fallen by the wayside and outside of Pipkins, there isn’t a real reliable scoring option that they can look to in clutch situations. Davidson has won four of five and is battling for a top two spot in the upcoming Atlantic 10 Tournament. That means taking care of business against teams that are below you in the standings. The Wildcats are 8-1 at home this season: they should have little problem dispatching the Minutemen in this contest.

Pick: Davidson Wildcats -15.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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