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Nevada vs. Utah State,
2-17-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#587 Nevada
Wolf Pack -4.5
#588 Utah State
Aggies 149.5

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 6:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Nevada Wolf Pack

22 - 5

13-12
ATS
13-13
O/U
82
PPG
71
OPPG

Utah State Aggies

14 - 13

12-12
ATS
9-14
O/U
73
PPG
71
OPPG

Betting Trends

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24th-ranked Nevada travels to Utah State for a matchup at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. The Wolfpack are at the top of the Mountain West heading into the weekend with an 11-2 record. After slowly climbing up the standings, the Aggies have suffered two setbacks in their last three games. This contest will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network.

Wolfpack pick up gigantic win at Boise State

Nevada remains at the top of the conference after back-to-back wins and grabbing a huge one at Boise State on Valentine’s Day. They were three-point underdogs heading into the game, but did just enough to get out of there with a victory. They hit 48.3 percent of their shots, and while they were sluggish a bit at the free throw line (converted 14-of-21 attempts), the opposition hit just 40 percent from the field and went 5-for-26 from downtown.

Two different players led the Wolfpack with 21 points. Kendall Stephens (13.4 ppg) was the more efficient of the two going 7-for-10 overall and delivering six of those makes from 3-point range. He’s now registered 21 points in back-to-back games. Jordan Caroline was limited to just 3-of-10 shooting, but delivered at the foul line and recorded a double-double of 13 points and 10 rebounds.

Merrill puts up over 30 points, but he can’t save the Aggies from a loss

Utah State’s offense has been sluggish in most of their road games this season. That’s been the culprit of their last two losses, the most recent coming at New Mexico, 78-63. The Aggies are regularly an underdog on the road these days, but haven’t covered their last two spreads. They actually hit a better field goal percentage than their opponent (51.3%), but the problem was coughing the rock up 23 times and letting the Lobos have 26 more shot attempts.

Sam Merrill (16 ppg) accounted for over half of Utah State’s points, putting up a crooked 33 points on 11-of-16 shooting. He went a dazzling 7-for-8 from 3-point range and made all four free throw attempts. He turned it over six times, which is ugly, but he more than made up for it with the offensive production.

Trends

Nevada is:

  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games after a SU win

Utah State is:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after an ATS loss
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record

At home, the Aggies have fared better a little better against the spread and have won three straight. They may not be able to get the victory outright, but expect more of the team to show up in this one to take the points.

Pick: Utah State

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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