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Oregon vs. UCLA,
2-17-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#651 Oregon
Ducks 153
#652 UCLA
Bruins -3.5

Saturday, February 17, 2018 at 10:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oregon Ducks

17 - 9


UCLA Bruins

18 - 8


Oregon Ducks at UCLA Bruins

UCLA (9-5 Pac-12) is tied with rival USC for second place in the Pac-12. They’ll face an Oregon team this is 7-6 and tied with three teams for fourth place. The bigger concern for these teams is making the NCAA Tournament. UCLA has a bad RPI of 52 but they are 2-2 against the Top 25 RPI, while Oregon has an 86 RPI but they are 0-2 against top-25 RPI teams and 2-3 against Top 50. These teams met on Jan. 20 with Oregon winning by three at home, 94-91.

Ducks lose on last-second alley-oop

Oregon fell at USC on Thursday, 72-70 on the road in a very close affair. Trojans point guard Jordan McLaughlin lofted a long pass across the floor as he was being doubled, and hit Chimezie Metu who caught the ball underneath the basket and laid it in with one second left. That was a tough way to lose for the Ducks, who were led by MiKyle McIntosh, who had 23 points on 9-of-13 shooting. Payton Pritchard added 17 points and four assists on 37 minutes. Oregon shot just 42.6 percent from the field and 9-of-27 from beyond the arc. They allowed the Trojans to shoot 51.8 percent from the floor and 9-of-22 from beyond the arc (40.9%). USC may have kept this closer than expected due to making just 5-of-12 from the line.

Forward Kenny Wooten has given the Ducks more of defensive presence inside since replacing Paul White. He’s averaging 2.81 blocks per game, good for 10th in the nation. Oregon ranks eighth in the nation in free throw percentage at 77.9. On the season, the Ducks average 78.5 points per game on 46.7 percent shooting (35.2% 3pt). They allow 70.3 points per game on 41.6 percent shooting (34.3% 3pt).

Bruins bounce back to beat Oregon State

UCLA split their Arizona road trip, winning at the Wildcats (72-74) on Feb. 8, but losing at Arizona State (88-79) last weekend. On Thursday, they bounced back from the ASU loss with a 75-68 win over Oregon State at home. Aaron Holiday led the Bruins with 17 points and 10 assists but struggled from the field (4-13 FG). He leads UCLA in scoring with 19.0 points per game but has made just 10 of his last 28 shots. Center Thomas Welsh added 15 points and 17 rebounds. He adds 13.0 points and 10.6 rebounds per game for the Bruins. UCLA shot just 39.3 percent from the field and made just 23-of-37 shots from the line (62.2%). They won the game on the boards, outrebounding the Beavers by 14.

On the season, UCLA averages 82.4 points per game on 46.7 percent shooting (37.1% 3pt). They allow 75.9 points per game on 42.2 percent shooting (34.7% 3pt).

NCAAB Trends:

Oregon is:

  • 14-5 ATS last 19 Saturday games.
  • 4-1 ATS last 5 overall.

UCLA is:

  • 1-4 ATS last 5 in series.

Oregon is 6-2 ATS the last 8 at UCLA. The Ducks need this game to get in the tournament or at least get on the bubble. UCLA has wins over Arizona and Kentucky, which could be enough.  Go with the Ducks.

Pick: Oregon

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!


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