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Wichita State vs. Cincinnati,
2-18-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#861 Wichita State
Shockers 141
#862 Cincinnati
Bearcats -6

Sunday, February 18, 2018 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Wichita State Shockers

20 - 5

11-12
ATS
14-9
O/U
84
PPG
70
OPPG

Cincinnati Bearcats

23 - 3

14-9
ATS
8-14
O/U
75
PPG
56
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAB

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A huge American Athletic Conference clash takes place between 18th-ranked Wichita State and fifth-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday night. Both teams still have a chance to win the regular season title along with Houston. The Shockers have strung together three straight wins while the Bearcats finally saw their massive winning streak come to an end at Houston.

Shockers have a closer affair with Owls, but still secure victory

Wichita State hopes their read-hot offense hits the road from their last two games at home. They were massive favorites against UConn and Temple and delivered by scoring over 90 points in each contest. They were both straight-up wins, but they didn’t convert a massive 13-point spread in rather close 93-86 win over the Owls last time out.

The Shockers were able to hit 56.4 percent of their shots and went 23-for-29 from the foul line, but hit half of the 3-pointers Temple made (8). That’s what kept the Owls in the contest, but they weren’t able to get over the hump. Shaquille Morris (13.3 ppg) had the best overall game with 23 points and 13 rebounds. He missed one of 10 field goal attempts which was from downtown. Darral Willis Jr. led the team off the bench with 24 points and went 9-for-11 from the field.

Bearcats’ long winning streak ends with bad shooting at Houston

Cincinnati’s long 16-game winning streak finally came to a close at Houston on Thursday night, falling in a low-scoring 67-62 battle. The Cougars were able to put up 43 points in the second half to secure the victory. To put that in perspective, the Bearcats allow just 56.3 points per game on average this season. It didn’t help that Cincy hit a paltry 38.6 percent from the field and converted only 4-of-15 3-pointers.

In fact, what kept the Bearcats in the game themselves was getting to the free throw line, and they converted 24-of-32 attempts. Jacob Evans (13.6 ppg) was the one of the biggest helps in that category, making nine of them. He led the team with 16 points, but it could have been more. HIm and Jarron Cumberland combined to hit just 6-of-18 field goals on the day.

Trends

Wichita State is:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a home winning percentage greater than 60%

Cincinnati is:

  • 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning SU record
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home

This will be the first of two meetings between WSU and Cincy this conference season — they’ll see each other again for a regular season finale. The Bearcats have been very reliable at home, so despite their recent loss, it’s hard to side against them in this big matchup.

Pick: Cincinnati

You do think of Cincinnati and their stellar defense to hit plenty of unders this season, but interestingly enough that’s mostly happened on the road. At home, they’re a split 50 percent both ways (5-5). With Wichita State’s offense rolling, you may want to go over here.

  • Over is 6-0 in Shockers last 6 overall
  • Over is 11-4 in Shockers last 15 Sunday games

Pick: Over

3

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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