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TCU vs. Oklahoma State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-18-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#857 TCU
Horned Frogs -2.5
#858 Oklahoma State
Cowboys 143

Monday, February 18, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

TCU Horned Frogs

17 - 8

13-12
ATS
13-11
O/U
75
PPG
69
OPPG

Oklahoma State Cowboys

9 - 16

8-17
ATS
9-15
O/U
67
PPG
70
OPPG

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Featured Video from Scott Steehn

The Oklahoma State Cowboys will be hoping to halt a five-game losing streak when they host the TCU Horned Frogs at Gallagher-Iba Arena on Monday night. Oklahoma State’s ridiculous skid most recently continued with a setback at Texas on Saturday. The Horned Frogs are hoping to avoid their first three-game losing streak of the 2018-19 campaign following defeats against Kansas and Oklahoma.

Got to find a way

Followings consecutive defeats and losing two more players to injury, TCU’s hopes for a second consecutive NCAA Tournament bid after a 19-year absence have taken a hard hit. With games against three ranked Big 12 teams upcoming, the Horned Frogs still have a chance to make a strong impression on the committee but they can’t afford to look past a struggling Oklahoma State team. TCU dropped a 71-62 decision at home against Oklahoma on Saturday, losing a fourth player–Lat Mayen–to a season-ending injury (knee) while playing without sophomore forward Kouat Noi (ankle). Noi is team’s second-leading scorer at 14.8 points per game. The short-handed Horned Frogs shot just 35.4 percent from the field and allowed the Sooners to shoot 50 percent, an ongoing problem for head coach Jamie Dixon’s team. It has allowed opponents to shoot 46.7 percent from the floor in Big 12 play–second-worst in the 10-team conference.

“We’ve got to find a way,” Dixon insisted. “We put out a new product out there today and it wasn’t successful. … We didn’t play well, but we have to play well tomorrow [in practice] and we have to play well Monday [at Oklahoma State]. We’ll have to figure it out.”

https://twitter.com/TCUBasketball/status/1096848119067828224

The Horned Frogs got 14 points and 11 rebounds from J.D. Miller and 14 points, six steals and four assists from freshman Kendric Davis in his first start, but they took a season-high 32 three-pointers and made only nine.

“The looks weren’t good enough,” Dixon admitted. “Looking at the percentages, you never want to be over 40 percent of your shots being threes, so we took too many…. We’re playing guys at different spots. That may have had something to do with it. But you’ve got to find a way. It’s disappointing.”

Junior guard Desmond Bane leads the way in scoring at 14.9 ppg and adds 5.5 rebounds and 2.7 apg, while point guard Alex Robinson chips in 12.8 ppg and 7.1 apg. Davis (6.8 ppg) is averaging 17.3 ppg, 5.0 apg, and 3.3 spg in 32.7 minutes over the past three games.

Cowboy not up

Oklahoma State dropped its eighth straight Big 12 game and fifth overall with Saturday’s 69-57 defeat at Texas, as leading scorers Cameron McGriff and Lindy Waters III were held to a combined 10 points on 4-of-14 shooting. Junior guard Thomas Dziagwa posted career-highs of 23 points on seven three-pointers against Texas. Freshman Isaac Likekele added 16 points and six rebounds as the Cowboys continued their longest Big 12 regular-season skid since losing 12 straight from 2016 to 2017.

McGriff leads the team in scoring (13.2 ppg) and rebounding (7.6 rpg, third in the Big 12) and is tied for second with seven double-doubles. Waters (11.8 ppg) leads the conference in free-throw-shooting (92.2 percent) and ranks second in three-point marksmanship (45.1 percent). Dziagwa (10.8 ppg, 79 three-pointers), who drained the most threes in a game for the Cowboys since 2012, is third in the Big 12 in three-point percentage (44.6) and is connecting on 41.7 percent for his career –seventh-highest in school history–from the land of plenty.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Horned Frogs won the first meeting this season 70-68 when Miller drove the length of the court in the final five seconds and converted a baseline jumper. Bane scored 26 points and Robinson added 11 assists for TCU. Although Dixon’s squad is a bit depleted, the Cowboys have been much more of a disaster in recent weeks. Plus Davis has done well to pick up the slack for the Horned Frogs. Oklahoma State is 1-4 ATS in its last five against winning opponents, 2-11 ATS in its last 13 against opponents with winning percentages over .600, 1-5 ATS in its last six at home against opponents with losing road records, and 0-4 ATS in its last four on Mondays.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

TCU freshman center Kevin Samuel (7.1 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.0 bpg) recorded four blocks against Oklahoma, giving him multiple rejections in five straight outings. Samuel also moved past Karviar Shepherd for the most blocks ever by a TCU freshman with 50. Guard Jaylen Fisher (12.1 ppg), forward Yuat Alok (3.3 ppg), and forward Angus McWilliam have been lost for the season to injuries, while forward Kaden Archie (2.1 ppg) transferred to UTEP. The under is 22-10-1 in the Cowboys’ last 33 overall, 26-9 in their last 35 at home, 9-3 in their last 12 against opponents with winning percentages over .600, and 12-5 in their last 17 following a loss. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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