Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#623 Pittsburgh 135.5 vs.
#624 Florida State -10.5
Tuesday, February 18, 2020 at 8:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The #8 Florida State Seminoles will host the Pittsburgh Panthers in an ACC battle Tuesday night from the Donald L. Tucker Center. The Panthers dropped a 67-57 road decision to Virginia Tech in their previous action, and the Seminoles registered an 80-77 home win over Syracuse on Saturday. Pittsburgh tallied a 63-61 home win against Florida State back in the regular-season opener.

Pittsburgh's Offensive Woes Lead to 9th ACC Defeat

The Pittsburgh Panthers have lost three out of their last four contests. They have not been able to sustain any offensive momentum in ACC play which has played a key role in their 6-9 record in conference action. Pittsburgh were 3.5 point dogs in a 67-57 road loss to Virginia Tech on Saturday. The Panthers will not make the NCAA Tournament unless they win a majority of their remaining games.

Justin Champagnie is an awful 2 for 12 from beyond the arc in his last two clashes. The freshman guard scored 30 points in a recent win against Georgia Tech is averaging 12.5 PPG and 7.3 RPG. Trey McGowens has struggled recently and has only scored a combined 15 points in his last two games. The sophomore guard has reached the 20 point mark only three times this season and owns an average of 12.5 PPG on 37% shooting. Xavier Johnson has scored 11 or fewer points in each of his last three games. The sophomore guard has registered an average of 11.8 PPG.

The Panthers are positioned 98th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and are 2-6 on the road this season. Pittsburgh is only averaging 65.8 points, pegging them down at 313th in DI. They are allowing an average of 63.9 points, good for 41st overall.

#8 Florida State Holds on to Top Syracuse for 11th ACC Win

The Florida State Seminoles enter this one a winner of four out of their last five games. They are involved in a thrilling battle for the top spot in the tough ACC. The Seminoles are 11-3 in ACC play, just one game out of first. They were unable to cover the 8.5 points spread in an 80-77 home win against Syracuse on Saturday. The Seminoles are projected as a #3 seed in ESPN’s Bracketology.

Devin Vessell did not see any action in Saturday’s win although he does not have an injury. The sophomore guard is having a terrific season overall and has compiled an average of 13.4 PPG and 5.3 RPG. Vessell is questionable for this one due to a disciplinary matter. Trent Forrest has scored at least 13 points in three out of his last four games. The senior guard has lifted his season average to 11.6 PPG on 45.4% shooting. M.J. Walker rebounded with a 16 point effort in Saturday’s victory. The junior guard is averaging 10.7 PPG. Walker is questionable with an injury to his mouth.

The Seminoles come in at #8 in the country in this week’s AP Top 25 rankings, and Ken Pomeroy has them 22nd in his ratings. Florida State is a perfect 13-0 on their home floor and they are scoring an average of 75.3 points, ranking them 76th in DI. The Seminoles are holding opponents to 65.6 points, good for 78th overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I expect a dominating home win from Florida State. Pittsburgh is struggling and they have lost three out of their last four games overall. They have not been very competitive either as each of their last five defeats has occurred by eight or more points. The Seminoles' outstanding defense should contain a struggling offense. The Panthers have only managed to score 52 and 57 points respectively in their last two games.

Furthermore, the Seminoles are very potent offensively as well. They have averaged a sizzling 81.3 points in their last three contests and just put up 80 points against Syracuse. Florida State is battling for first place in the ACC and expect them to post a solid effort and a double-digit win.

Prediction: Florida State Seminoles

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this game to trend under. These teams played in a low-scoring 63-61 decision in the first meeting in Pittsburgh. The Panthers are going to have trouble generating significant offense and have scored 67 or fewer points in five out of their last seven games. The under is 4-0 in the Seminoles’ last four games against a team with a winning record.

In addition, while I expect a solid output from the Seminoles offensively, overall the Panthers are a strong defensive team. They are holding opponents to 41.9% shooting. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these foes and that trend should cash again

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Florida State’s defense should thrive and a play on the Panthers team total offered on PointsBet is a recommended option. Pittsburgh is shooting an abysmal 41.1% as a team and only 30% from three-point territory.  Also, the Panthers have shot below 42% in each of their last four games and they will have issues in this game against another good defense.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Team Total Under

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am going with the over on the first half total. The Seminoles have squandered an average of 37.7 points in the opening half in their last three games which is well above their season average. Also, Florida State is also scoring plenty in the first half where they have posted 41 points in their last three games.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.