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Dayton vs. Davidson Prediction,
and Odds - 2-19-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#601 Dayton
Flyers 133
#602 Davidson
Wildcats -4

Tuesday, February 19, 2019 at 6:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Dayton Flyers

16 - 9


Davidson Wildcats

19 - 6


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The Dayton Flyers will head on the road to battle the Davidson Wildcats in an A10 battle Tuesday night from the John M. Belk Arena. The Flyers are coming off a tough 69-68 home loss to VCU, and the Wildcats registered an 80-72 home win over St. Joseph’s in their previous contest. Dayton recorded a 65-64 home win over Davidson in the lone meeting last season.

Dayton Drops Two Games Back of First Place in A10

The Dayton Flyers have dropped two out of their last three games, and as a result they stand two games back of first place in the A10 standings with an 8-4 record in conference play. The Flyers will be eager to return to action after they were edged 69-68 by VCU on Saturday. The Flyers were able to sink 50% of their field goals, while VCU shot 47%. Ryan Mikesell was a bright spot in the defeat, accumulating 22 points on a 9 for 12 shooting performance. The junior forward has reached 20 points in two out of his last five games, and he is averaging 9.6 points on the season.

Flyers’ top scorer Josh Cunningham hasn’t been quite as productive as of late, netting 13 or fewer points in five consecutive games which included 10 points in Saturday’s loss. The senior forward features a dazzling 61.7% field goal percentage, and he is averaging 13.9 PPG on the season.

The Flyers are currently positioned at 67th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they own a 4-3 road record. Dayton is scoring an average of 73.8 points, placing them 157th overall. The Flyers are an excellent defensive team that is holding opponents to 67.2 points, good for 68th in the country.

Davidson Targets Third Consecutive Victory

The Davidson Wildcats will be aiming for their third straight victory in this one. They are tied for first place in the A10 with VCU with a 10-2 record. The Wildcats had their shots falling in an 80-72 home win over St. Joseph’s on Saturday. Davidson was able to drill 15 three’s, while holding St. Joseph’s to a 37% clip from the field. Jon Axel Gudmundsson was outstanding, sinking 21 points along with seven assists. The junior guard is consistently producing, and he has now eclipsed 20 points three times in conference play. Gudmundsson is averaging 16.5 PPG and 6.8 RPG.

Wildcats’ leading scorer Kellan Grady has cooled off recently, scoring six or fewer points in three out of his last four games which included six points in Saturday’s win. Overall, the sophomore guard is a big threat, and he is sporting an average of 16.7 PPG on 45% shooting.

Davidson is currently ranked at 77th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they stand at a perfect 12-0 on their home court. The Wildcats are projected as a ‘bubble team’ in ESPN’s latest version of Bracketology. They are currently averaging 71.3 points, ranking them 223rd in the country. Davidson is holding opponents to 65.1 points, good for 35th in the nation.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I am taking the points with Dayton in this contest. Dayton needs a win to stay in contention for the top spot in the A10. The Flyers are very efficient from the field as they feature a sizzling 50.4% team field goal percentage, and they are playing effective defense as well.

Furthermore, Dayton is very reliable defensively, and they have limited their opponents to an average of only 63.7 points in their last five games overall. The Flyers are the better offensive team in this matchup, and this should be a very close game between two very good teams.

Prediction: Dayton Flyers

Full-Game Total Pick

I am opting with the under in this matchup. Davidson has only averaged 69.5 points in their last four games, and they are only shooting 44.8% as a team, plus the under is 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a winning record.

In addition, while Dayton is a strong shooting team, they have netted 68 or fewer points in three out of their last four games, and Davidson is a strong defensive club. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two combatants, and I expect it to convert again in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

I am confident Dayton can crack the Davidson defense. Davidson has squandered an average of 10.3 three-pointers over their last three games, and Dayton continues to excel from the field. Dayton’s top two scorers Josh Cunningham and Obadiah Toppin are both shooting over 60% on the season, and I expect a solid offensive performance from a Dayton team that needs a win.

Prediction: Dayton Team Total: Over

Half-Time Total Bet

I am going with the over on the halftime total. Dayton’s first half defense hasn’t been quite as effective recently, allowing an average of 34 points in their last three games. In addition, Davidson just surrendered 42 points in the opening half in their latest action against St. Joseph’s.

Prediction: Over

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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