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Brown vs. Columbia,
2-23-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#831 Brown
Bears
#832 Columbia
Lions

Friday, February 23, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Brown Bears

11 - 12

9-6
ATS
8-7
O/U
77
PPG
77
OPPG

Columbia Lions

7 - 16

6-8
ATS
7-7
O/U
75
PPG
75
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Brown Bears will head on the road to Levien Gymnasium on Friday evening for an Ivy League showdown against the Columbia Lions.

Bears playing at fastest pace in the conference

The Brown Bears lost for the third time in four games on Saturday, falling on the road to Dartmouth 66-63. Desmond Cambridge scored a team-high 13 points to lead four Brown players in double-figures on the night, however, it wasn’t enough to overcome a poor 4-for-22 shooting performance from three-point range.

Brown comes in scoring just 103.1 points per 100 possessions during conference play (4th in the Ivy), despite playing at the fastest pace in the entire Ivy League.

Mike Martin’s squad averages 70.9 possessions per game (1st in the Ivy) and only 15.5 seconds per offensive possession (1st in the Ivy) during league play this year.

Opposing teams have scored 108.6 points per 100 possessions against the Bears’ defense through 10 league games, while getting to the free throw line at an obscenely high rate. Ivy League teams own an offensive rebounding rate of 29.7 percent (8th in the Ivy) and a free throw rate of 43.7 percent against the Bears’ defense so far this year (8th in the Ivy).

Brown enters Friday’s matchup allowing their opponents to sport an effective field goal percentage of 56.6 percent (8th in the Ivy) during conference play this year.

Lions come in ranked as No. 1 offense in Ivy League

Columbia won their fourth league game of the season on Saturday, knocking off the Princeton Tigers 85-60 at home. Kyle Castlin scored a team-high 22 points, while Quinton Adlesh added 18 to help pace the Lions on offense. Columbia shot a blistering 14 for 24 from downtown on the night and won the rebounding battle 45-31 to improve to 4-9 in conference play this season

The Lions enter Friday’s matchup ranked as the No.1 offense in the Ivy League. Columbia comes in scoring 11.1 points per 100 possessions (1st in the Ivy) through 10 conference games this season.

Jim Engles’ squad also owns the top effective field goal percentage, offensive rebounding rate, and three-point percentage in the entire conference. The Lions own an effective field goal percentage of 54.3 percent and an offensive rebounding rate of 30.7 percent during league play.

The team also hasn’t been shy about hoisting threes at a high rate. Columbia has taken 41.1 percent of their total field goal attempts from beyond the three-point line during conference play (3rd in the Ivy), connecting on a league-best 39.8 percent of those three-point attempts.

On defense, Columbia does a good job of forcing turnovers and making life tough on their opponents from inside the arc; however, they’ve lived and died by the three-ball this year. Opposing teams are scoring 108.3 points per 100 possessions against Columbia’s defense (5th in the Ivy), while shooting just 49.5 percent from inside the three-point line (3rd in the Ivy). Instead, opposing teams have elected to do their damage from the outside against Columbia. About 43.3 percent of the total points that Columbia has given up during conference play have come from beyond the three-point line (1st in the Ivy League) and teams are shooting a red-hot 38.4 percent from three-point range against the Lions’ defense through 10 conference games.

Trends

Brown

  • Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Columbia

  • Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Brown gets to the free throw line at a higher rate than anyone in the Ivy League, but they also put opposing teams on the line more than any other team in the conference. Columbia has been able to surprise some teams with the three-ball this year. They recently stunned Princeton with a blowout win at home and the Lions will be looking to avenge a 91-88 OT loss to Brown a couple of weeks ago. Look for Columbia to come out fired up and take the Lions to cover the spread at home in this Ivy League showdown on Friday night.

Pick: Columbia Lions

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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