Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#7953 Oklahoma vs.
#7954 Kansas State
Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Oklahoma Sooners will travel to the Bramlage Coliseum on Tuesday night for a Big 12 Conference clash versus the Kansas State Wildcats.

Oklahoma has moved into second place in the Big 12 standings after winning three straight conference games. Meanwhile, Kansas State is fresh off of snapping a 13-game losing streak. The Wildcats have battled through a 6-18 season and a 2-13 mark in Big 12 play.

Can Kansas State win its second straight game at home against Oklahoma on Tuesday night?

Oklahoma pushes win streak to three games

Oklahoma took down Iowa State for the second time in two weeks with a 66-56 victory on Saturday. Austin Reaves finished with a team-high 20 points while De’Vion Harmon and Umoja Gibson chipped in 10 points apiece in the win. Oklahoma built an early 19-point lead and never looked back to improve to 9-4 in Big 12 play.

Lon Kruger’s squad comes into the weekend slotted at No. 26 in the latest KenPom rankings after pushing their winning streak to three games. The Sooners have scored 113.4 points per 100 possessions for the season (30th in the NCAA) and 105.5 points per 100 possessions versus league opponents (fifth in the Big 12). Taking care of the basketball has been one of Oklahoma’s biggest strengths this season. It has turned the ball over a league-low 14.8 percent of the time while shooting a healthy 50.8 percent from 2-point range (third in the Big 12). The Sooners aren’t afraid to let it fly from deep either. They have taken 39.4 percent of their total field goal attempts from beyond the arc (second in the Big 12) but have connected at rate of just 31.6 percent (ninth in the Big 12).

On defense, Oklahoma has held opponents to just 93.1 points per 100 possessions for the season (29th in the NCAA) and that has held relatively steady at 97.7 points per 100 possessions versus Big 12 teams (fourth in the Big 12).

Wildcats snap long slide with win vs. TCU

Kansas State earned a surprising 62-54 upset victory on the road against TCU on Saturday. Mike McGuirl finished with 16 points and Nijel Pack added 12 points for the Wildcats, who closed the game on an 18-2 run over the final five minutes.

Bruce Weber’s squad comes into the week ranked No. 186 in the latest KenPom rankings after getting back on the winning track over the weekend. The Wildcats have scored 101.3 points per 100 possessions for the year (208th in the NCAA) while allowing 103.3 points per 100 possessions on the defensive end of the floor (181st in the NCAA). However, both of those numbers have been trending in the wrong direction since the start of the conference season.

Through 15 Big 12 contests, Kansas State has scored a Big 12-low 89.3 points per 100 possessions while sporting the worst effective field goal percentage in the conference at just 45.5 percent. Turnovers have also been a major issue of the Wildcats, who have coughed up the basketball on 22.8 percent of their offensive possessions, the highest mark in the conference.

On defense, Kansas State has surrendered a league-worst 111.2 points per 100 possessions versus league opponents. It also sports the worst effective field goal percentage defense in the conference at 55.5 percent.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Sooners come into this game favored by 10.5 points but Oklahoma has not won a lot of games by double-digits as of late. In fact, none of the Sooners’ last six victories has come by more than 10 points. Kansas State is coming off of a win over TCU and it will be looking to avenge a 26-point loss against the Sooners in Norman earlier this season. Take Kansas State to cover the spread at home in this Big 12 contest on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats +10.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Kansas State likes to slow down the pace and it also happens to be one of the worst offensive teams in the conference. The Wildcats rank eighth in the Big 12 in adjusted tempo and dead-last in average possession length on offense. Meanwhile, Oklahoma sits at No. 7 in the Big 12 in both categories. The Sooners have struggled on offense at times this year and they’ve scored 66 points or fewer in three of their past five games. Take the under in this Big 12 Conference battle on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Under 131

Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.