Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#2003 Washington vs.
#2004 Arizona State
Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Eric P.

The Washington Huskies and Arizona State Sun Devils meet Tuesday night at Desert Financial Arena, in the first game of their two-game series in the Grand Canyon State. Washington looks to make it two wins in a row and leap the Sun Devils in the standings, while Arizona State has lost back-to-back games and three of their last four overall, and aims to stop the bleeding. Both teams come filled with talent but haven’t been able to put together much consistency on the season, and will look to Tuesday’s meeting to trend in the right direction as we move into March.

Huskies Finding Momentum

Washington has quietly put together a nice run of games, winning two of their last four, but still are sitting in second-to-last place in the PAC-12 standings. Starting on February 13th, the Huskies were able to play UCLA to a one-possession game, win on the road against in-state rival Washington, and after dropping a home game to Stanford, defeated Cal at home over the weekend.

The Huskies have talent but have taken a step back in Mike Hopkins’ fourth season in charge after back-to-back 20 win seasons in years one and two. The Huskies have a former McDonalds All-American in former Kentucky transfer Quade Green. While leading the team in scoring (14.9 ppg) and assists (3.4 apg), his scoring punch hasn’t been as expected upon his arrival. The Huskies also brought in one of the most highly coveted transfers this past off-season in Erik Stevenson (9.0 ppg), from Wichita State, but have struggled to get him to find the shooting form that made him so dangerous in the AAC the last few years. One pleasant surprise of late though has been Marcus Tsohonis (10.5 ppg), who is averaging nearly 17 points per game over his four games, and has a knack for keeping control of the ball from the point guard position.

A major concern for Washington will be on the defensive side of things, as their 199th ranked defense in terms of efficiency, according to Haslametrics, takes on Arizona State’s 77th ranked most efficient offense. The Huskies also give up 84.99 field goal attempted per 100 possessions, which ranks 318th nationally according to Haslametrics. Arizona State’s efficiency, and their ability to get more shots off, and get to the free-throw line at a higher rate, might put pressure on Washington’s offense. Washington will have the advantage inside, with or without potential Sun Devil injuries though, and will need to capitalize on second-chance opportunities and control the defensive boards to make the most of their opportunity to continue to rise in the conference standings.

Sun Devils Continue To Disappoint

Arizona State has fallen hard off of finding themselves second in the conference’s preseason poll, but they still have the talent and experience to dominate on any given night. While Bobby Hurley’s bunch can kiss away any chance at the NCAA Tournament, this is still a team that has the potential to be a tough out in the PAC-12 tournament and is looking at every game as an opportunity to get the ball rolling. The Sun Devils are still ranked 99th by KenPom and boast a quartet of double-digit scorers to give Washington’s defense fits.

Remy Martin (20.2 ppg, 3.9 apg) is the star of the show every night and has led the Sun Devils in scoring in each of the last seven games. The injury bug though could wreak havoc on the rest of the supporting cast though. Second-leading scorer Josh Christopher (14.3 ppg) will miss Tuesday’s game with a leg injury, while Alonzo Verge Jr. (13 ppg), Marcus Bagley (11.8 ppg), and Jalen Graham (7.9 ppg), are all questionable to play on Tuesday for a variety of reasons. The Sun Devils were missing Bagley and Christopher over the weekend though, and still led a talented UCLA team all the way into the final minute, but additionally being without Verge Jr. and Graham might be too much to overcome.

If healthy, Arizona State should have the offense to stay away from Washington but will need to find ways to battle on the offensive and defensive glass, especially without a few of their top rebounders potentially. The Sun Devils play the 21st fastest pace in the country, according to Haslametrics, and will be at an advantage with how potent their offense is, and how much scoring and shots Washington typically allows. The three-point like could be the difference. The Sun Devils shoot almost the same as the Huskies from deep, and whichever team can convert their chances from deep while defending their opponent on the perimeter, will have the leg up in this one.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The injury concerns keep piling up for the Sun Devils, and they could be without four of their top five scorers on Tuesday night. Even if one or two of the questionable players are able to play for Bobby Hurley, they’ll still be missing a lot of production, especially inside where they have already struggled this season. Washington is playing better basketball of late, and the Sun Devils have been too sloppy and too inconsistent on both ends to know what you’ll see out of them. Arizona State is too talented to drop this game, but won’t be able to run away with it by any means.

Prediction: Washington +8

Full-Game Total Pick

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Washington has failed to hit this total in their last five games, while Arizona State has consistently hit this number, but has the potential to be missing a large part of their offensive production due to injuries and limitations. Additionally, according to covers.com, the under is 5-0 in Washington’s last five overall, is 4-0 in their last four games following an ATS win, is 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and is 5-1 in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Prediction: Under 151.5
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Written By Eric Ploch , "Eric P."

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years.  After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. We are glad to have Eric on OUR Team.