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Georgia Southern vs. Texas St,
2-24-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#601 Georgia Southern
Eagles
#602 Texas State
Bobcats

Saturday, February 24, 2018 at 5:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Georgia Southern Eagles

17 - 10

9-12
ATS
9-12
O/U
76
PPG
69
OPPG

Texas State Bobcats

14 - 14

10-11
ATS
8-12
O/U
66
PPG
63
OPPG

Betting Trends

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It’s a battle of teams looking to pick up a win in Sun Belt action on the parquet floor. The Georgia Southern Eagles are on the road as they travel to face the Texas State Bobcats Saturday afternoon. Georgia Southern lost for the fourth time in five games with an 83-63 road loss to UT Arlington Thursday night. Texas State dropped their seventh in a row with a 77-50 home loss to Georgia State Thursday night. The Eagles own a 4-2 lead in the all-time series between the teams but it was the Bobcats claiming a 62-61 win on the road in the first meeting this season on January 25.

Georgia Southern Eagles Trying to Protect Seeding in Sun Belt

Georgia Southern has stumbled of late with four losses in their last five games after falling to UT Arlington. The Eagles fell to 17-11 overall and 8-7 in the Sun Belt: they are tied for third with Louisiana Monroe but the Warhawks own the tiebreaker. Georgia Southern was in the game with UT Arlington for about 22 minutes: they trailed by four at the half and tied the game at 41 with 17:52 to play. Then the wheels came off as UT Arlington went on a 17-0 run and wasn’t challenged again. The Eagles shot 33.3 percent from the field and went a dismal eight of 34 from three point range in the game. Montae Glenn and David Jones Jr. each had 12 to lead Georgia Southern in the loss.

The Eagles are above average on the offensive end of the floor as they are tied for 120th in the nation by scoring 75.8 points per contest. Georgia Southern is 34th in rebounding with 38.8 boards a night while they stand only 347th with 9.9 assists per contest. The Eagles have been excellent on the defensive end of the floor as they are 111th in scoring defense by allowing 69.8 points per game. Georgia Southern is shooting 42.4 percent from the field as a team this season. The Eagles knock down 8.1 three pointers a night while shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc as a team. Georgia Southern has been lousy at the free throw line as they shoot 66.3 percent as a team. Tookie Brown leads three Eagles in double figures with 18.7 points plus 4.1 assists per game. Mike Hughes (11.1 points, 4.8 boards), Jake Allsmiller (8.6 points) and Ike Smith (11.6 points, 4.4 boards) are each better than eight points a game on the year. Montae Glenn, Quan Jackson and Jared Hamilton each average better than six points a night for the Eagles. Hamilton has been out of action since December 2.

Texas State Bobcats Hope to Return to .500

Texas State saw a promising start to the season go up in flames as they have dropped seven straight entering this one. The Bobcats are now 14-15 overall and 7-9 in the Sun Belt with their loss to Georgia State. Texas State had a two point lead midway through the first half against Georgia State before going frigid offensively: in a span covering the rest of the first half and the first three and a half minutes of the second, they were outscored 28-2. That was all she wrote for this one. The Bobcats shot 27.1 percent from the field, including eight of 24 from three point range, and hurt themselves by going just 16 of 30 at the free throw line. Nijal Pearson led Texas State with 17 points and seven rebounds in the win.

The Bobcats are a below average offensive unit as they are 328th in scoring offense with an average of 65.7 points per game. Texas State is 200th in rebounding with 35 boards a night and is 197th with 13.4 assists per game. The Bobcats are an elite defensive unit as they are 14th in the country in scoring defense, allowing 64.1 points per game. Texas State shoots 43.2 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Bobcats sink an average of 6.2 triples a night while shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc as a team. Texas State is struggling mightily at the free throw line as they hit only 65.3 percent of their chances this season. Nijal Pearson is the only player averaging in double figures for Texas State with 14.6 points along with 5.9 rebounds per game. Immanuel King, Alex Peacock, Tyler Blount, Tre’Larenz Nottingham, Eric Terry, Isaiah Gurley, Nedeljko Prijovic, Marlin Davis and Shelby Adams each put up at least 3.8 points a night for Texas State.

Trends:

Georgia Southern

  • No Key Trends

Texas State

  • Bobcats are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points
  • Bobcats are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games

This one is a matchup of two teams that are cold at the moment. Georgia Southern has lost four of five but they have the ability to get back on track down the stretch. Texas State has dropped seven in a row and while their defense keeps them in games most of the time, it couldn’t hold off the Georgia State onslaught that buried them. The Bobcats are 7-5 at home this season but they are 0-8 ATS in those contests that had lines. You have to lean Georgia Southern’s way here as Texas State seemingly has lost the blueprint for success.

Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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