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Pacific vs. Loyola Marymount,
2-24-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#581 Pacific
Tigers
#582 Loyola Marymount
Lions

Saturday, February 24, 2018 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pacific Tigers

14 - 15

16-11
ATS
14-14
O/U
71
PPG
71
OPPG

Loyola Marymount Lions

8 - 19

11-11
ATS
11-11
O/U
71
PPG
76
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Saturday afternoon college hoops action and a pair of teams from the West Coast Conference will square off as the Pacific Tigers duke it out with the Loyola Marymount Lions at Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, California. The Tigers are off an 84-74 home loss to the Dons to fall to 9-8 in league play, while the Lions enter off a 65-64 road win over Santa Clara to move to 4-13 within the WCC. The Tigers won the first meeting by a score of 88-82 in OT.

Defense Struggles In Loss To The Dons

The Pacific Tigers have been up-and-down of late and they come into this game having lost their last two games in a row, with both losses coming at home. They have allowed 78 ppg in those two losses after giving up just 60.2 ppg in going 4-1 over their previous five games. That defense was key in their loss to the San Francisco Dons on Thursday night. The Tigers allowed 84 points in that game and they did so on 45.0% shooting from the field overall, including 44.8% shooting from long range. They could get their defense back on track in this one as they will not be taking on a very good offensive team. The offense was not terrible in the loss to the Dons as they hit 44.4% of their shots from the field overall, including 40.0% of their shots from beyond the arc. They were outscored 39-18 from long range and out-rebounded 39-28 in the game, which was two key stats in this game. The Tigers fell in the game despite the fact that Roberto Gallinat (14.7 ppg) poured in 41 points. He is a freshman that is coming into his own as he has averaged 26.5 ppg over his last six games, after putting up just 11.7 ppg over his first 24 games. Also scoring in double-figures was Jahlil Tripp (10.8 ppg), who had 16 and he also grabbed 10 boards as well. The Tigers have averaged 68.6 ppg and they have allowed 69.6 ppg in league play so far.  

The Tigers have been rather poor on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 247th in the nation in scoring, putting up 71.3 ppg, while also ranking 164th in shooting (45.0%), 298th in 3-point shooting (32.5%) and 132nd in free throw shooting (72.4%). At the defensive end of the court, they have been below average as they have allowed 72.4 ppg, which is 174th in the nation, while also ranking 244th in defensive FG% (45.1%) and 226th in 3-point defense (35.7%).

Lions Survive Tight One With Santa Clara

The Loyola Marymount Lions have had a very tough year, especially within the West Coast Conference where they have gone just 4-13 on the year, but they do come in off a very nice 65-64 road win over Santa Clara on Thursday night. It was just their 3rd road win on the year overall and their first in league play. The game was tight throughout as neither team led the game by more than six points and there were nine ties and 16 lead changes in the game. The Broncos missed a three-pointer at the buzzer that would have won it for them. The defense for the Lions has not been their strong suit this year, but it really played well in the win over the Broncos as they held them to just 40.4% shooting from the field overall, including just 33.3% shooting from long range. They have a shot at another good defensive performance in this one as they will not be taking on a great offensive team. The offense for the Lions played well against the Broncos as they hit 50.0% of their shots from the field overall, including 44.4% of their shots from beyond the arc. Leading their attack in the game was Mattias Markusson (8.5 ppg), who had 19 and 12 boards, while James Batemon (16.8 ppg) had 14 points and Eli Scott (13.2 ppg) had 12 to round out their double-digit scorers in the game. The Lions have averaged 67.1 ppg and have allowed 75.9 ppg within the WCC this year.

Loyola Marymount has not been great on offense so far as they enter this contest ranked 242nd in the nation in scoring, putting up just 71.6 ppg, while also ranking 214th in shooting (44.1%), 247th in 3-point shooting (33.6%) and 195th in free throw shooting (70.7%). At the defensive end of the court, they have been poor so far as they enter this contest ranked 280th in the nation in points allowed, giving up 76.5 ppg, while also ranking 343rd in defensive FG% (49.2%) and 298th in 3-point defense (37.1%).

Trends

Pacific is:

  • The Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games
  • The Under is 5-2 in Tigers last seven games following an ATS loss

Loyola-Cal is:

  • The Under is 4-1-1 in their last six vs. the West Coast Conference
  • The Under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games following three or more consecutive road games

The Pacific Tigers come in having lost their last two games in a row and they have struggled on defense in those two games, but they are not taking on a great offensive team in this one and the Tigers did allow just 60.2 ppg in their previous five games. The Lions enter this contest having averaged just 67.1 ppg in league play and just 64.0 ppg in their last five games overall, while the Tigers have allowed just 69.6 ppg against the MWC so far. They did allow 82 points in the first meeting, but just 66 in regulation as the game went to OT. The Tigers have averaged just 68.6 ppg in league play and just 66.9 ppg on the road and I look for this Lions’ defense to hold them in check in this one. The first meeting saw just 132 points scored in regulation and I look for this one to finish in the lower 130s as well.  

Pick: Under

David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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