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Arizona vs. Oregon,
2-24-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#679 Arizona
Wildcats
#680 Oregon
Ducks

Saturday, February 24, 2018 at 11:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arizona Wildcats

21 - 6

10-16
ATS
14-12
O/U
81
PPG
71
OPPG

Oregon Ducks

17 - 10

13-13
ATS
11-14
O/U
78
PPG
70
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks

Arizona has won three straight, including a 75-65 overtime win over Oregon State on Thursday. The Ducks broke a two-game losing streak with a 75-68 win over Arizona State on Thursday. The No. 14 Wildcats beat Oregon on Jan. 13, 90-83 at home.

Wildcats win without Trier

Arizona found a way to beat Oregon State by 10 in overtime on Thursday, 75-65. Rawle Atkins nailed two three-pointers to a major run in overtime, while DeAndre Ayton posted his 18th double-double of the season with 19 points and 12 boards. Alkins finished with 16 points and eight boards. Arizona shot 48.2 percent from the field but just 5-of-16 from beyond the arc. The Wildcats were playing without star guard Allonzo Trier (19.6ppg), who was suspended for a positive PED test.  Arizona shot 48.2 percent from the field, while holding Oregon State to 40 percent from the floor. They also outrebounded the Beavers by eight and forced 16 turnovers.

At 12-3, Arizona is two games up on USC for first place in the league. The Wildcats aren’t having a great season and neither is the league, but with RPI of 18, they should get at least a third seed in the NCAA Tournament. Losing Trier though doesn’t help their situation. On the season, the Wildcats average 81.4 points per game on 51 percent shooting (39% 3pt). They allow 71.6 points per game on 43.5 percent shooting (36.3% 3pt).

Oregon looking for big win

At 8-7 in the Pac-12 and with an RPI of 79, the Ducks are really not on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. A win over Arizona would help their cause though. They beat Arizona State on Thursday night, 75-68. Elijah Brown led the Ducks with 19 points, while MiKyle McIntosh added 16 points and five boards. The Ducks shot just 41.3 percent from the floor and 4-of-16 from beyond the arc. Oregon’s defense was exceptional as they held Arizona State to just 38.6 percent from the floor. Fortunately, they turned the ball over just seven times and made 19 of 23 free throws (82.6%).

On the season, Oregon averages 78.4 points per game on 46.2 percent shooting (34.8% 3pt). They allow 70.8 points per game on 41.7 percent shooting (35% 3pt). The Ducks are led by Payton Pritchard, who averages 14.6 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting (40.8% 3pt). Brown adds 13.0 points on 41.7 percent shooting and 35.6 percent 3-point shooting.

NCAAB Trends:

Arizona is:

  • 3-8-1 ATS last 12 after an ATS win.
  • 1-5-1 ATS last 7 Saturday games.

Oregon is:

  • 14-6 ATS last 20 Saturday games.
  • 4-1 ATS last 5 in series.

Arizona is the better team but maybe not without Trier. That’s a major loss for the Wildcats, while this is a desperation game for the Ducks. Take Oregon at home.

Pick: Oregon

Without Trier, Arizona is going to struggle to score and they have to win with defense. The Ducks are pretty good defensively, especially at home, where they are allowing teams. They are 4-0 Under their last four games, while Oregon is 4-0 Under their last four home games. They are also 10-4 Under their last 14 overall.

Under

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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