Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#833 Notre Dame -5.5 vs.
#834 Boston College 142.5
Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 9:00pm EST
Written by David Hess

This article covers a past game!

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College hoops action on Wednesday evening and we will see a pair of teams from the Atlantic Coast Conference square off as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish grapple with the Boston College Eagles at Conte Forum in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts. Boston College won the first meeting by a score of 73-72. Notre Dame enters this game at 17-10 overall, including 8-8 in league play while the Eagles have gone just 7-10 against the ACC and 13-15 overall.

The Irish Are On The Bubble

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have had an up-and-down year in the ACC as they have gone 8-8 in league play thus far. Notre Dame is in a four-way tie for 5th place in the ACC while going 17-10 overall. They are clearly on the bubble to get into the NCAA Tournament and may need a win or two in the upcoming ACC Tournament to get in. Even though the Eagles have struggled in ACC play, this could be a big win for the Irish. They have Wake Forest on the road on deck followed by home games against Florida State and Virginia Tech to close out the regular season. a 3-1 mark in these last four games, coupled with a win or two in the ACC tournament could get the Irish off the bubble. KenPom has the Irish ranked 57th in the nation and they have faced the 82nd ranked schedule.

The Irish come in off a very solid 87-71 home win over the Miami Hurricanes, in a game that they were favored by eight points in. The offense has gotten back on track as the Irish have averaged 82.0 ppg over their last two games after putting up just 56.7 ppg over their three previous games. Notre Dame shot 47% from the field overall, including 45% (14/31) from long range while committing just seven turnovers against Miami. The Irish take good care of the ball and they are currently 2nd in the nation in fewest turnovers per game at 9.7. Leading their attack was John Mooney and Temple Gibbs, who both had 19 points. Mooney has 12 boards and is currently 2nd in the nation in rebounding at 12.65 per game. The defense played well against the Canes as Notre Dame held them to just 41% shooting overall, including 23% (5/22) shooting from long range.

Notre Dame enters this game ranked 78th in the nation in scoring at 75.0 ppg, 235th in field goal percentage at 42.6%, 105th in three-point shooting at 34.7% and 83rd in free-throw shooting at 73.5%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 168th in points allowed at 69.1 ppg, 109th in defensive FG% at 41.6% and 243rd in three-point defense at 33.9%.

The Offense Is Not Flying For The Eagles

It has been a rough season in the ACC for the Boston College Eagles as they have gone just 7-10 in league play while going 13-15 overall. the Eagles will clearly need to win the ACC Tournament to get into the Big Dance. A win in this game could give the Eagles some confidence and hope that they could finish the regular season strong and at least get an invite to one of the lesser postseason tournaments. The Eagles have gone just 4-9 over their last 13 games and a big reason for their struggles this year has been their offense. Boston College has scored more than 72 points just once in their last 15 league games and that was a game that went to OT. They have averaged just 63.9 ppg in league play on the year and that may be enough against a Notre Dame team that has played very well on offense. this year.

Boston College is off of an 82-64 home loss to Clemson, in a game they were dogs of 2.5 in. The Eagles shot just 38% from the field overall, including just 2&% (7/26) from long range. Leading their attack was Jay Heath, who had 16 points while Jared Hamilton had 12. The BC defense has taken a hit of late as they have now allowed 78.3 ppg in their last four games while surrendering 73.2 ppg in league play overall. the Tigers shot a whopping 69% from the field overall, including 52% (12/23) from long range against BC. The Eagles did force Clemson into 18 turnovers but they still lost by 18. Boston College is ranked 176th by KenPom and they have faced the 62nd ranked schedule.

Boston College enters this game ranked 319th in the nation in scoring at 64.8 ppg, 324th in field goal percentage at 40.6%, 326th in three-point shooting at 30.1% and 304th in free-throw shooting at 66.4%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 193rd in points allowed at 69.8 ppg, 255th in defensive FG% at 44.4% and 254th in three-point defense at 34.2%.

Best Bets for this Game

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Notre Dame needs this game a lot more as they are trying to play their way off of the NCAA Tournament bubble. A 3-1 finish tp their year could do just that. Boston College has not been playing well of late, especially their offense which has averaged just 63.0 ppg in league play so far. That will not get it done against a Notre Dame offense that has found its groove again. The Irish have scored 77 and 87 points in their last two games and they have averaged a solid 74.1 ppg in league play while the BC defense has been torched for 77.2 ppg in their last five games overall. Notre Dame's defense has struggled in league play but the BC offense just isn't good enough to take advantage. Look for the Irish to win by at least eight.

Prediction: Notre Dame

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Notre dame is right in the middle of the pack in the nation in terms of pace of play at 185th while the Eagles are 130th. This will not be a grind it out game by any stretch. The Eagles have struggled to score in their conference games but they will get some points against a Notre Dame defense that has allowed 74.4 ppg in league play so far. The Irish have averaged 82.0 ppg in their last two games and 74.1 ppg within the ACC while the Eagles have given up 77.2 ppg over their last five games. BC has also allowed 73.6 ppg as an underdog this year. The Over is 6-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games as a favorite and that is the clincher.

Prediction: Over 141.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.