Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#781 St. John's 146.5 vs.
#782 Villanova -12.5
Wednesday, February 26, 2020 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The #12 Villanova Wildcats will host the St. John’s Red Storm in a Big East clash Tuesday night from the Finneran Pavilion. The Red Storm were dealt an 81-65 road loss by Seton Hall on Sunday, and the Wildcats recorded a 64-55 road win against Xavier on Saturday. Villanova routed St. John’s by a 79-59 score in the first meeting this season.

St. John's Tagged with 11th Big East Loss, Heron Out

The St. John’s Red Storm are going to have trouble finding the win column the rest of the way. They have been tagged with the loss in five out of their last six games overall and have fallen to 3-11 in Big East play, putting them in second last. St. John’s defense has been exploited recently which continued in their 81-65 road loss to #16 Seton Hall on Sunday in a tilt that had the Red Storm labeled as 10.5 point dogs.

LJ Figueroa scored 19 points in Sunday’s loss. The junior guard has reached the 20 point mark five times this season and is currently averaging 14.8 PPG on 37.7% shooting. Mustapha Heron is out of the season which is a big loss. The senior guard recorded an average of 13.8 PPG this season and was a big threat from three-point range. Rasheem Dunn is playing reasonably well, scoring at least 13 points in five out of his last seven games overall. The junior guard owns an average of 12.6 PPG.

The Red Storm are positioned 78th in all of DI in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and hold a poor 1-6 road record. St. John’s is averaging a solid 74.7 points, ranking them 86th in the country. They are squandering an average of 71.2 points, placing them down at 231st overall.

#12 Villanova Defeats Xavier, Remain in 3rd in Big East

The red-hot Villanova Wildcats are seeking their fifth consecutive win. They have catapulted up the Big East standings and now stand at 10-4 in conference play, 1.5 games behind first-place Seton Hall. Villanova is playing terrific defense which continued in their 64-55 road win against Xavier on Saturday in a tilt that had the Wildcats as one point dogs. Villanova is now projected as a #3 seed in ESPN’s Bracketology.

Saddiq Bey is red-hot, sinking a combined 42 points in his last two games. The sophomore forward has been the Wildcats' most productive scorer recently and he is now averaging 15.8 PPG and 5 RPG. Collin Gillespie only scored four points in Saturday’s victory, although overall he is playing well. The junior guard has drained 12 three’s in his last three games and is sporting an average of 15.7 PPG and 4.6 APG. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has shot at least 50% in three out of his last four contests. The freshman forward holds an average of 10.6 PPG and 9.4 RPG.

The Wildcats remained at #12 in this week’s AP Top 25 rankings and Ken Pomeroy has them at 18th in his ratings. Villanova is 11-2 on their home floor and they are averaging 73.9 points, placing them 105th overall. They are holding opponents to 66.4 points, positioning them 96th in the country.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I expect a dominating home win from Villanova. The Wildcats are still trying to win the Big East while the Red Storm have plummeted to the bottom of the Big East. They are playing the rest of the season without Mustapha Heron who is averaging 13.8 PPG, and his absence has impacted them significantly.

Furthermore, St. John's have lost five out of their last six contests and their defense has been awful. They have squandered 73 points in five out of those six games. The Wildcats have won four straight and each of their last three wins occurred by big points in which they covered the spread. The Wildcats also crushed the Red Storm 79-59 in the first meeting and I expect another blowout win.

Prediction: Villanova Wildcats

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this total to go over. The Wildcats have been hot from three-point range recently and they have collected an average of 75 points in their current four-game winning streak. As mentioned the Red Storm defense has been struggling in a big way recently, and the over has converted in three out of their last four games overall.

In addition. St. John’s is still managing to generate a good amount of points. They have tallied at least 74 points in three out of their last four games and they have played solid defensive teams in that span.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Villanova team total offered on PointsBet is a strong prop. The Wildcats drained 12 three’s in their 20 point win over St. John’s in the first meeting. The Red Storm’ defense has not been able to hold teams down recently. They have surrendered 94 points to Creighton, 77 to Xavier and 81 to Seton Hall all within in their last four games and a hot-shooting Villanova team should thrive in this one.

Prediction: Villanova Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am opting for the under in the first half total. The Wildcats' first-half defense has been outstanding as of late. They have limited their opponent to an average of only 25.7 points in the opening half in their last three games. Also, St. John’s is only averaging 30.7 points in the first half in their last three clashes.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.