Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#669 Portland vs.
#670 San Francisco
Thursday, February 27, 2020 at 10:00pm EST
Written by David Delano

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The San Francisco Dons will host the Portland Pilots at War Memorial Gymnasium on Thursday night. With only two games remaining in the regular season, the Dons have at least the number 6 seed in the West Coast Conference Tournament locked up, and trail Pepperdine by half a game for the number five seed. The Dons actually might be better off staying in the current number 6 spot. Although there is plenty of work to be done, if we take a look ahead, the number 5 seed could run into Gonzaga in the WCC Tournament semi-finals, while the number six seed could not play the Zags until the conference championship game.

Portland is 1-13 and currently is the last place in the WCC. Portland is on a 12 game losing streak and has been the underdog in 11 of those 12 games. Ironically, Portland’s only conference win came at home against San Fransico, 76-65. Portland was a 10.5 point underdog going into that game.

Portland goes for sweep against San Franciso

Portland’s win over San Franciso on Jan. 4 is the only game that the Pilots have won in the last 18 games that they have played. Portland has also only covered the spread in four of those 18 games.

It won’t be an easy task if the Pilots want to complete the series sweep on the road. The Pilots leading scorer Isaiah White, who averages 12.2 points per game, is questionable with an undisclosed injury after sitting out in Portland’s 66-58 loss to Loyola Marymount on Saturday. White also missed the game against San Fransico earlier this season.

On the season, Portland is averaging 66.6 points per game and allowing 71.7 points per contest. According to KenPom, Portland is ranked 288th in the country, 316th adjusted offensive efficiency, and 218th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

San Franciso looking for revenge

With a BPI rating of 88th in the country, San Fransico appears to be in line for one of the post-season tournaments in March, if they are unable to win the West Coast Conference Tournament. San Fransico defeated Pepperdine 63-61 in overtime on Saturday. Charles Minlend, who leads the team with 14.7 points per game, had a team-high 19 points against Pepperdine.

On the season, San Fransico is averaging 74.7 points per game and allowing 69.6 points per contest. According to KenPom, San Fransico is ranked 90th in the country, 90th adjusted offensive efficiency, and 99th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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A better opponent could often overlook a 1-13 team at this point of the season, but I’m sure San Fransico remembers the 11 point loss they took at the hands of Portland this season. Although the Dons have not been stellar against the spread, Portland hasn’t had much success against the number either. The Dons are a much better team and have a chance to make a run in the WCC Tournament. Portland shot 49% from the field and 54% from three-point range in the first meeting against San Francisco, and I don’t see Portland duplicating that performance. On the season, Portland is only shooting 43% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range on the season, and I expect to see numbers closer to that range this time around. I'm not crazy about laying this many points, but there isn't much reason to have confidence in Portland being able to keep this game close. I will take San Fransico to get revenge and cover the spread here.

Prediction: San Francisco -16

Full-Game Total Pick

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San Fransico and Portland combined for 141 points in their first meeting this season, but both teams far exceed their usual shooting averages. The under has cashed in 10 of San Francisco's 14 conference games this season, and five of San Diego's last eight games have gone under the total with one push. Three of the previous four meetings between San Fransico and Portland have gone under as well. The trends here make the under the most probable outcome.

Prediction: Under 137
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Written By David Delano

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA & the WNBA. Prior to joining OUR Team, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper. David loves to have conversations about sports and leadership and is always open to learning and experiencing new things.