Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#671 Belmont vs.
#672 Missouri State
Wednesday, February 8, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Arthur Reyes

This article covers a past game!

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The Belmont Bruins will travel to the Great Southern Bank Arena on Wednesday evening in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup to take on the Missouri State Bears. The Bruins are 17-8 (10-4) so far this season and are coming off a 90-75 home win on Saturday against the Illinois State Redbirds. The Bears are 12-12 (8-6) so far and are coming off a 73-53 road loss on Sunday against the Southern Illinois Salukis. These teams played on Jan. 7 and the Belmont Bruins picked up a 74-61 home win. 


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Bruins Playing Incredible Right Now

The Belmont Bruins have been doing extremely well and are coming off a great 90-75 home win against the Illinois State Redbirds. They controlled the game in the opening half as they outscored Illinois State 44-33. They shot the ball at a solid level as they were 34-of-64 (53.1 percent) overall, 6-of-22 (27.3 percent) from three, and 19 free-throw attempts. Junior guard Even Brauns led the team as in 32 minutes he finished with 18 points, 12 rebounds, three assists, and one block. Defensively, they were brutal as they allowed 50 percent from the floor and 40.7 from deep here. Belmont needed to improve a bit as they forced 11 turnovers with seven steals and a pair of blocks throughout the game. 

The Belmont Bruins are doing pretty well this season as they are 105th in the nation with 75 points per game thus far, but are shooting a solid 46.5 percent from the floor and are averaging 15.3 assists per game. Defensively, they are giving up 71.1 points per game, which is 224th in the country. They were able to do well as they finished with 3.4 blocks and 7.2 steals per game up to this point. 

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Bears Need to be Scary Again

The Missouri State Bears are coming off a tough 73-53 road loss against the Southern Illinois Salukis and it does not help when they are only able to score 21 points in the second half of the game. They did incredibly well shooting the ball as they finished shooting 47.6 percent throughout the game, 45.5 percent from beyond the arc, and 16 free-throw shots. Sophomore guard Chance Moore led the Bears as in 26 minutes he finished with 14 points, six rebounds, one block, and two turnovers. Defensively, they did an average job as they allowed the Salukis to finish 45.6 percent from the floor, 28.1 percent from three, and 13 free-throw attempts. The Bears were able to record five steals and four blocks over the course of the game. 

The Missouri State Bears have been a struggling offensive team with 65.7 points per game, which is 326th in the country, while also dishing out 11.2 assists per game. They’ve been doing decently well as they are shooting 43.6 percent from the field so far. On the defensive side of things, they are 36th in the nation with 63.6 points per game as well. They recorded 4.2 blocks and 6.8 steals per game this season to make things tough against them.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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In their last 10 games, Belmont is 8-2 ATS while Missouri State is 5-5 ATS. When diving into the previous five games, these offenses are also on two completely different levels as the Bruins are averaging 76.8 points per game while the Bears are scoring just 62.2 points per game. There is a sizable gap according to KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin as Belmont is 129th in the country with a +3.35 rating while Missouri State is 153rd in the nation with a +1.03 rating thus far. All in all, go with the Belmont Bruins to cover the spread on the road. 

Prediction: Belmont Bruins +0.5

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Full-Game Total Pick

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Defending the three this season has been tough for both teams as the Bears are 99th in college basketball with a 32.3 opposing three-point percentage while the Bruins are 258th in the nation with a 35.3 three-point percentage against. When looking at the defenses as of late, Belmont is allowing 79 points in their previous three games while Missouri State is giving up 68.3 points in their last four games. In the previous three games, these teams are grabbing a significant amount of offensive rebounds as Missouri State is averaging 9.7 offensive rebounds per game while Belmont is grabbing 10 offensive rebounds per game. Go with the over in this game as it seems to be the better option here. 

Prediction: Over 136.5

Written By Arthur Reyes , "Arthur Reyes"

After playing sports throughout most of middle school, high school, and college, Arthur has been writing about sports for nearly a decade. With years of experience, he has had a very good career in the betting world. Arthur has brought his talent to StatSalt and Winners & Whiners and he has been an integral part of our team. Make sure you follow along with Arthur each and every day. You won't be disappointed.