Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#721 Oklahoma vs.
#722 Baylor
Wednesday, February 8, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

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A pair of Big 12 teams collide on the hardwood in search of a victory in the Lone Star State. The Oklahoma Sooners are on the road as they travel to take on the #14 Baylor Bears Wednesday night. Oklahoma was routed 93-61 on the road by West Virginia in their previous game Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 5.5-point underdog. Baylor cruised to an easy 89-62 home win over Texas Tech in their previous game Saturday, covering the line as a 9.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Sooners own a 44-22 advantage though the Bears have won nine of the last 10 meetings. That includes a 62-60 road win in the first meeting this season on January 21.

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Oklahoma Sooners Looking to Regroup After Blowout

Oklahoma dropped their second straight and fifth in the last six games as they were pasted on the road by West Virginia Saturday. The Sooners fell to 12-11 overall and stand ninth in the Big 12 with a 2-8 mark in conference play. Against West Virginia, Oklahoma hung around for a bit as they were within four with 7:16 to play in the first half before the roof fell in on them. The Sooners were outscored 29-7 the rest of the half to trail 56-30 at intermission. Oklahoma trailed by as many as 34 in the second half en route to the blowout loss. The Sooners shot 37.3% from the field, including five of 21 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 16 times in the defeat. Grant Sherfield paced Oklahoma with 16 points in the loss.

The Sooners have been below average offensively this season, averaging 67.8 points per game on the year, putting them 278th in scoring offense. Oklahoma hauls down 32.3 rebounds per contest while handing out 13.3 assists per game on the season. The Sooners are solid on the defensive end of the floor as they give up an average of 66.3 points per game, putting them 88th in scoring defense. Grant Sherfield is one of two players averaging in double figures as he puts up 16.9 points plus 3.2 assists per game this season. Tanner Groves adds 9.7 points plus seven rebounds per game. Jacob Groves (7.4 points), Jalen Hill (10.1 points), Sam Godwin, Milos Uzan, Bijan Cortes, Joe Bamisile, C.J. Noland and Otega Oweh are other key pieces for second-year coach Porter Moser, who came over from Loyola Chicago last offseason. Oklahoma shoots 47.2% from the floor as a team this year, which is 48th in the nation. The Sooners knock down 6.7 three-pointers a game while shooting 35.3% from beyond the arc. Oklahoma has been above average at the line as they are converting a solid 73% of their chances on the season.

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Baylor Bears Seek to Maintain Recent Dominance of Sooners

Baylor won for the seventh time in their last eight games as they obliterated Texas Tech at home Saturday night. The Bears, who ran their mark to 17-6 overall and who stand tied for fourth in the Big 12 with a 6-4 conference record, look to beat Oklahoma for the 10th time in their last 11 meetings here. Against Texas Tech, Baylor led by four at the half and by just two a minute into the second half before erupting. The Bears went on a 30-7 run to take a 70-45 advantage with 8:05 remaining and coasted the rest of the way. Baylor shot 53.8% from the field, including 10 of 24 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 36-27. Jalen Bridges led the Bears with 18 points and eight rebounds in the win.

The Bears enter this contest 32nd in the country in scoring offense as they pile up 78.9 points per game. Baylor is 115th in rebounding as they pull down 36.3 boards per contest and are 44th by dishing out 15.4 assists per game. The Bears are slightly above average defensively, ranking 168th in the country in scoring defense by allowing 69 points a night. LJ Cryer is one of four Baylor players in double figures with 14.3 points per game on the year. Keyonte George (17.2 points, 4.5 boards, 3.1 assists), Adam Flagler (15.1 points) and Jalen Bridges (10.1 points) are good scoring options as well. Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (who made his season debut against Texas Tech on February 4), Flo Thamba, Langston Love, Josh Ojianwuna, Caleb Lohner and Dale Bonner are all guys that are looked at to contribute when they are on the floor. Baylor is hitting 44.7% of their attempts from the floor this season. The Bears knock down an average of 9.2 three-pointers a night while hitting 35.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Baylor is excellent at the free throw line, where they are converting 75% of their chances, putting them 51st in the nation.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Baylor has owned Oklahoma in the last few seasons and things don’t look to be that different here. Oklahoma followed up their big upset win over #2 Alabama by getting beaten by Oklahoma State by 10 at home and then getting waxed by West Virginia. Now they have to go on the road and face a Bears team in Waco, where Baylor has gone 11-2 this season. Oklahoma hung tough in the first meeting this season but that game came in Norman. The Sooners are only 1-5 on the road this season, losing their last three by a combined 75 points. Now, we’re not saying Baylor is going to win by 25 points here but they should dispatch the Sooners fairly easily to earn the victory.

Prediction: Baylor Bears -8.5

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Full-Game Total Pick

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Oklahoma has seen the over post a 12-11 mark in their games this season. The Sooners are 50th in offensive efficiency, 57th in defensive efficiency and 41st in effective field goal percentage (53.4%) this season. They are 267th in turnover percentage (19.7%) and 328th in offensive rebounding percentage (23.1%) on the year. Oklahoma is a very slow-paced team as they are 303rd in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 64.7 possessions a night. Baylor comes into this one having seen the over hit in 12 of their 23 games on the season in relation to the total. The Bears are third in offensive efficiency and 74th in defensive efficiency on the season according to KenPom. Baylor is 73rd in effective field goal percentage (52.5%) and 11th in offensive rebounding percentage (36.7%) this season. The Bears are an average team in tempo as they are 179th in that category with 67.1 possessions a night on the year. In the first meeting, the teams totaled only 122 points. This game likely has more offense though it likely follows the pattern in the series. Eight of the last 10 meetings have ended up short of the total: take the under here.

Prediction: Under 142.5

Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.