Detroit at Wright State
When and Where: Saturday, Feb. 9, Nutter Center, Dayton, Ohio, 7 p.m. EST.
After being torched by Antoine Davis in the first meeting between the teams, Wright State looks to slow down the top-scoring freshman in Division I on Saturday night when it hosts Detroit in a Horizon League matchup.
Titans look to sweep Raiders behind Davis
In a season of superlatives for Davis, who leads all freshmen in scoring at 27.1 points per game and is second nationally behind Campbell’s Chris Clemons (29.0), it was his first game against Wright State that stands out above all others.
Davis finished with 48 points — the fourth-highest total by any Division I player in 2018-19 — as he made 10 of 15 3-pointers and shot 15 for 24 overall in powering Detroit (9-15, 6-6 Horizon League) to a 79-58 rout Jan. 3. It is one of two 40-point efforts for the 6-foot-1 freshman guard, who is one of four freshmen to score in double figures in every game he has played.
— Detroit Mercy MBB (@DetroitMBB) February 8, 2019
He had 26 points on 10-of-23 shooting Thursday night at Northern Kentucky, but the Titans were unable to climb out of a 20-point halftime hole as they lost 97-65 to the Norse to kick off a run of five straight road games. No one else reached double figures for Detroit as Davis’ teammates were a combined 12 for 36.
While his son has been carrying the offense, Titans coach Mike Davis has yet to solve his team’s defensive woes. Detroit is giving up 77.3 points per game — sixth-worst in the Horizon League — and it ranks eighth in defensive field goal percentage (46.0).
The Titans have lost three straight road games after opening Horizon League play with wins at Youngstown State and Cleveland State as part of a 5-1 start to league play. They have not swept Wright State since the 2011-12 season.
Raiders seek redemption, sweep of Detroit schools
Wright State (14-11, 8-4) is one game behind Northern Kentucky for the Horizon League lead and looking for its seventh win in eight games since a 68-64 road loss to the Norse on Jan. 11.
Wright State closes out a huge #HLMBB win in impressive fashion! Loudon Love (18 pts, 10 Rebs) finishes with a double-double and Wampler scores 16 on 7/11 shooting. Your Raiders return to the Nutter Center on Saturday at 7:00 PM to face the Titans of Detroit Mercy! pic.twitter.com/IEJEKiz9Cp
— WrightStateMBB (@WSU_MBB) February 8, 2019
Loudon Love had 18 points and 10 rebounds to lead five players in double figures in a 76-62 win over Oakland on Thursday night. Three different players had four points in a game-breaking 18-0 run to start the second half for the Raiders as they erased a six-point deficit and shot 50 percent overall
“We talked about Oakland coming in here ready to play, and that they always play hard. We were emotionally flat in the first half,” coach Scott Nagy told Wright State’s official website. “We played more behind instead fronting and made it tougher for them score in the second half.”
Love notched his third double-double in his last five games and 10th overall this season. The 6-foot-9, 280-pound sophomore is averaging team highs of 14.9 points and 8.3 rebounds for the Raiders, who have won four straight at home after opening Horizon play with an overtime loss to Illinois-Chicago.
Last month’s loss to Detroit snapped a five-game winning streak in the series for Wright State, which has won five straight home games over the Titans.
Wright State is:
- 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games as a home favorite.
- 4-1 ATS in its last five home games vs. Detroit.
- The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games between the teams.
- The over is 6-0 in its last six games vs. sub-.400 teams.
- The over is 4-1 in its last five Saturday games.
- 2-5 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 90 or more points in its previous game.
- 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. Wright State.
- 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. Horizon League opponents.
- The over is 4-1 in its last five games following a straight up loss of 20 or more points.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Part of this pick is the Raiders exacting revenge for Davis’ 48-point game against them in Motown, but Detroit’s road form also inspires little confidence in the Titans covering — even a double-digit number. Wright State also needs this game to at least keep pace with Northern Kentucky and has played well for the past three weeks save its loss at Illinois-Chicago.
Prediction: Pick: Wright State -10.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The Raiders have played to 153 points and higher four times in winning six of its last seven, and with the Titans coming having allowed 90 or more points for the fourth time this season, the over is a strong pick here. In the game after the previous three occasions Detroit yielded at least 90, opponents scored 83 or more twice.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 143.5 points
Half-Time Side Pick
The expectation is Wright State will come out aggressive to try and take Davis off his game, but the Titans have also been awful in the first half on the road of late — they have trailed by 19, 9, and 20 points after 20 minutes in their last three games. The Raiders have not led by more than five points in any of their last seven home games, but with revenge in the offering, the hedge here is they play well the first 20 minutes.
Prediction: Pick: Wright State -6
Half-Time Total Bet
This is a pick against Detroit’s defense after Northern Kentucky hung 51 on it Thursday night. The Titans have yielded 33 or more points in four of their five Horizon League road games, and their current form coupled with the Raiders needing to win this game to keep pace with the Norse gives the over a slight edge.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 68 points