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TCU at No. 17 Iowa State
When and Where: Saturday, Feb. 9, Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa, 2 p.m. EST.
No. 17 Iowa State has a chance to be atop the Big 12 by the end of play Saturday if it beats TCU and gets a little help from Oklahoma State.
Horned Frogs in need of signature road win
TCU (16-6, 4-5 Big 12) has not made back-to-back NCAA Tournament appearances since going for the first two times in school history in 1952-53. While the Horned Frogs are on the bubble this time around, they could do themselves a huge favor at Hilton Coliseum by recording their first conference road win of the season.
— TCU Basketball (@TCUBasketball) February 7, 2019
Jamie Dixon’s team avoided a third consecutive loss Wednesday night, edging Oklahoma State 70-68 at home. JD Miller hit a 10-footer at the buzzer, Alex Robinson became the school’s all-time leader in assists, and Desmond Bane went 6 for 9 from 3-point range and finished with a season high-tying 26 points as the Horned Frogs won their eighth straight Big 12 home game.
“Probably our last option, but it is an option,” Dixon told The Associated Press about the last play, with Miller only 2 for 11 from the field to that point. “It’s something we practiced over and over, but I don’t know if we’ve had it finish like that before.”
This game starts a pivotal 72-hour stretch for TCU’s NCAA Tournament hopes as it has a quick turnaround and hosts No. 13 Kansas on Monday night. But first, the Horned Frogs have to solve their Big 12 road woes — they are 0-5 thus far and have lost all but one of them by nine or more points.
TCU is also 0-3 against ranked opponents, part of a seven-game losing streak to AP Top 25 teams since an 82-73 home win over then-No. 7 West Virginia last season. The Horned Frogs have lost 46 consecutive road games to ranked teams since defeating then-No. 24 Hawaii on Jan. 19, 1998.
Bane leads the Frogs in scoring at 15.0 points per game, followed by Kouat Noi (14.7) and Robinson (12.7). Bane and Noi have combined for 81 3-pointers, with both players connecting at a 39.1 percent clip from beyond the arc.
Surging Cyclones seek fifth straight win
No. 17 Iowa State (18-5, 7-3) is one-half game behind Kansas for the Big 12 lead, and with a short-handed Jayhawks squad tipping off against Oklahoma State two hours before this game, the Cyclones will know if they are playing for sole possession of the conference lead.
See you there!!!! https://t.co/FKFV18JVSs
— Steve Prohm (@CoachProhm) February 8, 2019
Iowa State ran its winning streak to four games with a hard-earned 75-74 win at Oklahoma on Monday night. Lindell Wigginton hit four 3-pointers and scored 18 points off the bench to lead five players in double figures.
“I thought Lindell shot the ball really, really well tonight,” coach Steve Prohm told the Ames Tribune. “He made big plays for us offensively. I thought Lindell off the bench was great tonight. I thought that was a huge difference tonight.”
Wiggington is averaging 12.8 points but has upped that mark to 17.3 per game during the winning streak while shooting 54.1 percent. Mariyal Shayok, who hit a clutch go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:13 left, finished with 16 points and is second in the Big 12 in scoring at 19.1 per contest.
Aside from its one-point loss to Kansas State, there has been plenty of “Hilton Magic” for the Cyclones, who are 11-1 at home. All but one of those victories have been by a double-digit margin as Iowa State has averaged 80.8 points in its 12 home games while outscoring opponents by 20.6 per contest.
The Cyclones are 5-1 at home versus the Horned Frogs since they joined the Big 12 in 2012, but that loss came last season as part of a sweep by TCU.
Iowa State is:
- 17-7-3 ATS in its last 27 games as a home favorite.
- 11-4-2 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. teams with a sub-.500 road record.
- The favorite is 5-0 in the last five games between the teams.
- The over is 7-0 in its last seven home games vs. TCU.
- The over is 7-0 in its last seven games vs. above-.500 teams.
- The over is 31-15-1 in its last 47 games vs. above-.600 teams.
- 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games after an ATS loss.
- 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. Big 12 opponents.
- 1-3-1 ATS in its last five road games as an underdog between 7-12.5 points.
- The over is 21-10 in its last 31 games vs. Big 12 opponents.
- The over is 6-0 in its last six games vs. Iowa State.
- The over is 5-0 in its last five games vs. above-.500 teams.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cyclones have been near-invincible at home and also have a week off after this game ahead of a grudge match in the “Little Apple” at Kansas State. Iowa State should also be well-rested having not played since Monday night and should be primed for a big effort at home.
TCU will challenge the Cyclones, but it does not have enough offensive depth to keep up in this game as Iowa State should pull away.
Prediction: Pick: Iowa State -10.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The teams combined for 169 and 172 points in last season’s two matchups, and the confidence comes in the fact that each of the last six games the over has hit in this rivalry has seen point totals of 147 and higher. Both teams are offensively efficient teams, and it would not be surprising to see both teams reach at least 75.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 145 points
Half-Time Side Pick
A confidence pick in the Cyclones, who have led at halftime in 11 of their 12 games at Hilton Coliseum and enjoyed double-digit leads in eight of them. TCU’s road form in Big 12 play contributes as the Horned Frogs have trailed by seven or more after 20 minutes in their last three games outside Fort Worth — and by 16 and 11 in the last two.
Prediction: Pick: Iowa State -5.5
Half-Time Total Bet
Iowa State has reached 68 and higher in five of its last seven home games, including three of five in Big 12 play. TCU again contributes to the over here as all five of its conference road games have been played to 67 and more in the opening 20 minutes, including three of 70 and up.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 68.5 points