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NCAAB

Wagner vs. Baylor,
3-13-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#549 Wagner
Seahawks 141.5
#550 Baylor
Bears -13

Tuesday, March 13, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Wagner Seahawks

23 - 9

5-4
ATS
6-1
O/U
74
PPG
67
OPPG

Baylor Bears

18 - 14

14-11
ATS
10-14
O/U
75
PPG
69
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Baylor is one of the top four seeds in the NIT this season, and they’ll be hosting eight-seeded Wagner on Tuesday night. The Bears’ bubble was popped when finding out they were one of the first teams out. The Seahawks fell short at home in the NEC championship against LIU Brooklyn, but are given an automatic bid into the NIT for winning the regular season.

Seahawks have head-scratching showcase in NEC final

Wagner has a lot to be proud of this season, finishing at the top of the conference with a 14-4 record. They’ve won five of their last seven games and were heavily favored in all of their conference tournament games, but they suffered from a very lackluster effort in the final. They were down by 16 points at halftime and never really recovered to make a significant rally to beat LIU-Brooklyn, who went on to win 71-61.

The Seahawks hit just 30 percent of their shots and went a cold 6-for-33 from downtown, and the opposition was able to 53.2 percent of theirs. Romone Saunders (14.5 ppg) led the team with 17 points on 6-of-16 shooting. He’s scored 16 or more points in four straight games. Jojo Cooper averages the same amount of points that Saunders does on the season, but he was limited to 11 points and went 3-for-12 overall in shooting.

Bears get snubbed from the NCAA tourney

It’s certainly OK to think Baylor got snubbed from the tournament when teams like Oklahoma, UCLA, and Arizona State made it in. After all, two of those teams suffered from mediocre finishes to their season. They didn’t do themselves much favors in dropping four of their last five games, however, and that included an opening round loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 tournament, 78-65.

Had the Bears gotten one in Kansas City (and they were up 18-10 early on against WVU), this might be a different story. Instead, they’ll have to see if they can roll through another NIT campaign. The Bears hit 42 percent of their shots and were led by Manu Lecomte (16 ppg). He finished with 27 points, nearly half of the team’s total output, on 7-of-12 shooting and converting 10-of-11 free throw attempts.

Trends

Wagner is:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games

Baylor is:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games

The Seahawks have been great in NEC play, but playing the Bears from the Big 12 is a whole different animal. They were smoked by Missouri and were lucky to cover a 22-point underdog spread at Seton Hall. Go for Baylor with confidence here.

Pick: Baylor

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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